**Trader consensus on the Ankara lowest temperature market has consolidated at 100% implied probability for 12°C or below due to direct observational data from local meteorological stations showing a minimum of approximately 12°C (53.6°F) on September 13, 2026.** Clear skies overnight promoted strong radiative cooling under light winds, allowing surface temperatures to drop efficiently in the continental climate of central Anatolia. Hourly records indicate early-morning lows near 16°C falling further as the night progressed, with station data confirming the daily minimum reached or fell below the 12°C threshold. This aligns with typical September patterns where Ankara experiences cooling nights after warm days, though the exact minimum here reflects the specific synoptic conditions of high pressure and minimal cloud cover. Scenarios that could challenge this outcome remain limited at this stage of the day but include any post-midnight measurement revisions from official sources or localized microclimate effects at the primary reporting station. With resolution criteria tied to verified daily minimums, the market reflects the current weight of station observations rather than forecasts.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa ad Ankara il 13 settembre?
12°C o inferiore 100.0%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
12°C o inferiore
100%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C o superiore
<1%
12°C o inferiore 100.0%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
12°C o inferiore
100%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C o superiore
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 11, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus on the Ankara lowest temperature market has consolidated at 100% implied probability for 12°C or below due to direct observational data from local meteorological stations showing a minimum of approximately 12°C (53.6°F) on September 13, 2026.** Clear skies overnight promoted strong radiative cooling under light winds, allowing surface temperatures to drop efficiently in the continental climate of central Anatolia. Hourly records indicate early-morning lows near 16°C falling further as the night progressed, with station data confirming the daily minimum reached or fell below the 12°C threshold. This aligns with typical September patterns where Ankara experiences cooling nights after warm days, though the exact minimum here reflects the specific synoptic conditions of high pressure and minimal cloud cover. Scenarios that could challenge this outcome remain limited at this stage of the day but include any post-midnight measurement revisions from official sources or localized microclimate effects at the primary reporting station. With resolution criteria tied to verified daily minimums, the market reflects the current weight of station observations rather than forecasts.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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