Recent ensemble forecasts from global models, including GFS runs updated on September 13, indicate a daytime maximum near 20–21°C in Munich on September 14 under mostly cloudy skies with periods of light rain and northwest winds. These conditions, driven by a passing frontal system, limit solar heating and keep values close to the long-term September average high of roughly 19.8°C while exceeding the cooler readings seen earlier in the week. Trader consensus, reflected in the 53.5% implied probability for 21°C and 32% for 22°C, aligns with this model agreement, as lower outcomes like 20°C hold only 11% amid limited upside potential from clearing skies. Final official readings from DWD stations will resolve the market within hours of peak heating.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Monaco il 14 settembre?
La temperatura più alta di Monaco il 14 settembre?
21°C 54%
22°C 31%
20°C 12%
23°C 7%
NUOVO
$16,499 Vol.
NUOVO
$16,499 Vol.
14 set 2026
14°C o inferiore
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
2%
19°C
1%
20°C
12%
21°C
54%
22°C
31%
23°C
7%
24°C o superiore
<1%
21°C 54%
22°C 31%
20°C 12%
23°C 7%
NUOVO
$16,499 Vol.
NUOVO
$16,499 Vol.
14 set 2026
14°C o inferiore
$1,185 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$917 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$752 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$662 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$383 Vol.
2%
19°C
$753 Vol.
1%
20°C
$1,590 Vol.
12%
21°C
$2,714 Vol.
54%
22°C
$5,862 Vol.
31%
23°C
$1,265 Vol.
7%
24°C o superiore
$414 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from global models, including GFS runs updated on September 13, indicate a daytime maximum near 20–21°C in Munich on September 14 under mostly cloudy skies with periods of light rain and northwest winds. These conditions, driven by a passing frontal system, limit solar heating and keep values close to the long-term September average high of roughly 19.8°C while exceeding the cooler readings seen earlier in the week. Trader consensus, reflected in the 53.5% implied probability for 21°C and 32% for 22°C, aligns with this model agreement, as lower outcomes like 20°C hold only 11% amid limited upside potential from clearing skies. Final official readings from DWD stations will resolve the market within hours of peak heating.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 12, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$16,499Data di fine
14 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 12, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from global models, including GFS runs updated on September 13, indicate a daytime maximum near 20–21°C in Munich on September 14 under mostly cloudy skies with periods of light rain and northwest winds. These conditions, driven by a passing frontal system, limit solar heating and keep values close to the long-term September average high of roughly 19.8°C while exceeding the cooler readings seen earlier in the week. Trader consensus, reflected in the 53.5% implied probability for 21°C and 32% for 22°C, aligns with this model agreement, as lower outcomes like 20°C hold only 11% amid limited upside potential from clearing skies. Final official readings from DWD stations will resolve the market within hours of peak heating.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$16,499Data di fine
14 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 12, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from global models, including GFS runs updated on September 13, indicate a daytime maximum near 20–21°C in Munich on September 14 under mostly cloudy skies with periods of light rain and northwest winds. These conditions, driven by a passing frontal system, limit solar heating and keep values close to the long-term September average high of roughly 19.8°C while exceeding the cooler readings seen earlier in the week. Trader consensus, reflected in the 53.5% implied probability for 21°C and 32% for 22°C, aligns with this model agreement, as lower outcomes like 20°C hold only 11% amid limited upside potential from clearing skies. Final official readings from DWD stations will resolve the market within hours of peak heating.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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