**Forecast consensus from regional models points to a September 14 daily maximum near 25–26 °C at Incheon International Airport, the primary measurement site for this market.** Multiple sources, including extended-range guidance and airport TAFs, show highs of 25–26 °C under partly cloudy to overcast skies with northwesterly flow at 6–11 km/h. This pattern reflects the post-monsoon seasonal cooling, as autumnal high pressure builds and advects drier, cooler air from higher latitudes, keeping afternoon temperatures below late-summer norms. Current observations on September 13 recorded peaks around 24 °C amid hazy conditions, supporting the slight downward tilt in ensemble means. Minor model spread in cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing creates the tight distribution between the 25 °C and 26 °C bins, with lower probabilities for outliers reflecting limited upside potential from insolation or downslope warming. Updated short-range runs and official KMA briefings ahead of the observation window remain the key near-term catalysts.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Seoul (Incheon) il 14 settembre?
26°C 47%
25°C 32%
24°C 12%
27°C 9%
$20,648 Vol.
$20,648 Vol.
20°C o meno
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
4%
24°C
12%
25°C
32%
26°C
47%
27°C
9%
28°C
2%
29°C
1%
30°C o superiore
<1%
26°C 47%
25°C 32%
24°C 12%
27°C 9%
$20,648 Vol.
$20,648 Vol.
20°C o meno
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
4%
24°C
12%
25°C
32%
26°C
47%
27°C
9%
28°C
2%
29°C
1%
30°C o superiore
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 12, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast consensus from regional models points to a September 14 daily maximum near 25–26 °C at Incheon International Airport, the primary measurement site for this market.** Multiple sources, including extended-range guidance and airport TAFs, show highs of 25–26 °C under partly cloudy to overcast skies with northwesterly flow at 6–11 km/h. This pattern reflects the post-monsoon seasonal cooling, as autumnal high pressure builds and advects drier, cooler air from higher latitudes, keeping afternoon temperatures below late-summer norms. Current observations on September 13 recorded peaks around 24 °C amid hazy conditions, supporting the slight downward tilt in ensemble means. Minor model spread in cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing creates the tight distribution between the 25 °C and 26 °C bins, with lower probabilities for outliers reflecting limited upside potential from insolation or downslope warming. Updated short-range runs and official KMA briefings ahead of the observation window remain the key near-term catalysts.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti