**Forecast models from GFS and regional sources indicate a minimum temperature in Amsterdam on September 18, 2026, likely settling between 11–13°C overnight into early morning.** Moderate southwesterly winds and variable cloud cover are limiting strong radiative cooling under clear skies, keeping the nocturnal drop modest compared to typical autumn baselines. Dew points near 10–12°C and surface pressure around 1010–1014 hPa support this range, with the lowest readings expected pre-dawn before daytime warming to 17–19°C. Slight differences among 11°C, 12°C, and 13°C outcomes hinge on exact cloud timing and wind gusts: clearer intervals could enhance heat loss and push toward the lower end, while persistent cloud or stronger mixing would anchor values near 13°C. Trader consensus around these closely priced outcomes reflects genuine uncertainty in the final observed minimum from official stations.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di Amsterdam il 18 settembre?
12°C 48%
11°C 48%
10°C 46%
13°C 46%
7°C o inferiore
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
46%
11°C
48%
12°C
48%
13°C
46%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C o superiore
<1%
12°C 48%
11°C 48%
10°C 46%
13°C 46%
7°C o inferiore
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
46%
11°C
48%
12°C
48%
13°C
46%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C o superiore
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 16, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models from GFS and regional sources indicate a minimum temperature in Amsterdam on September 18, 2026, likely settling between 11–13°C overnight into early morning.** Moderate southwesterly winds and variable cloud cover are limiting strong radiative cooling under clear skies, keeping the nocturnal drop modest compared to typical autumn baselines. Dew points near 10–12°C and surface pressure around 1010–1014 hPa support this range, with the lowest readings expected pre-dawn before daytime warming to 17–19°C. Slight differences among 11°C, 12°C, and 13°C outcomes hinge on exact cloud timing and wind gusts: clearer intervals could enhance heat loss and push toward the lower end, while persistent cloud or stronger mixing would anchor values near 13°C. Trader consensus around these closely priced outcomes reflects genuine uncertainty in the final observed minimum from official stations.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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