Recent forecast model consensus from the Met Office and ECMWF indicates a mild westerly flow over southern England on September 18, supporting a daily maximum temperature near 20°C under partly cloudy skies with limited convective activity. This aligns with the market's leading 54% implied probability for 20°C and 32% for 19°C, as current guidance shows highs stabilizing around 18–20°C without significant warm advection or clear-sky radiative heating. Recent model runs have shown little shift in the 48-hour outlook, though minor variations in cloud cover or shower timing could adjust the peak by 1°C. Traders appear to weigh the narrow historical September range and stable synoptic pattern against the short lead time before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Londra il 18 settembre?
La temperatura più alta di Londra il 18 settembre?
20°C 54%
19°C 32%
21°C 9%
18°C 6%
NUOVO
NUOVO
18 set 2026
15°C o meno
<1%
16°C
2%
17°C
2%
18°C
6%
19°C
32%
20°C
54%
21°C
9%
22°C
3%
23°C
2%
24°C
1%
25°C o superiore
<1%
20°C 54%
19°C 32%
21°C 9%
18°C 6%
NUOVO
NUOVO
18 set 2026
15°C o meno
$161 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$25 Vol.
2%
17°C
$0 Vol.
2%
18°C
$124 Vol.
6%
19°C
$755 Vol.
32%
20°C
$483 Vol.
54%
21°C
$114 Vol.
9%
22°C
$310 Vol.
3%
23°C
$53 Vol.
2%
24°C
$184 Vol.
1%
25°C o superiore
$545 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from the Met Office and ECMWF indicates a mild westerly flow over southern England on September 18, supporting a daily maximum temperature near 20°C under partly cloudy skies with limited convective activity. This aligns with the market's leading 54% implied probability for 20°C and 32% for 19°C, as current guidance shows highs stabilizing around 18–20°C without significant warm advection or clear-sky radiative heating. Recent model runs have shown little shift in the 48-hour outlook, though minor variations in cloud cover or shower timing could adjust the peak by 1°C. Traders appear to weigh the narrow historical September range and stable synoptic pattern against the short lead time before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 16, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Volume
$2,755Data di fine
18 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 16, 2026, 12:55 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from the Met Office and ECMWF indicates a mild westerly flow over southern England on September 18, supporting a daily maximum temperature near 20°C under partly cloudy skies with limited convective activity. This aligns with the market's leading 54% implied probability for 20°C and 32% for 19°C, as current guidance shows highs stabilizing around 18–20°C without significant warm advection or clear-sky radiative heating. Recent model runs have shown little shift in the 48-hour outlook, though minor variations in cloud cover or shower timing could adjust the peak by 1°C. Traders appear to weigh the narrow historical September range and stable synoptic pattern against the short lead time before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,755Data di fine
18 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 16, 2026, 12:55 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model consensus from the Met Office and ECMWF indicates a mild westerly flow over southern England on September 18, supporting a daily maximum temperature near 20°C under partly cloudy skies with limited convective activity. This aligns with the market's leading 54% implied probability for 20°C and 32% for 19°C, as current guidance shows highs stabilizing around 18–20°C without significant warm advection or clear-sky radiative heating. Recent model runs have shown little shift in the 48-hour outlook, though minor variations in cloud cover or shower timing could adjust the peak by 1°C. Traders appear to weigh the narrow historical September range and stable synoptic pattern against the short lead time before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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