Recent forecast consensus from Météo-France, ECMWF, and GFS models supports a daytime maximum near 23°C at Paris-Le Bourget, following cooler northwest maritime air advection after the prior day's 33°C peak. Variable cloud cover and moderate northwest winds are limiting insolation and keeping values aligned with the late-September climatological average high of 21.5°C. This stable signal underpins the market-implied odds concentrating at 23°C. A realistic challenge could arise from faster-than-expected clearing skies boosting surface heating or persistent low stratus suppressing the peak below the 23°C threshold, with final resolution hinging on the official NOAA observation.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Parigi il 16 settembre?
23°C 100.0%
18°C o inferiore <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$70,863 Vol.
$70,863 Vol.
18°C o inferiore
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
Sì
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C o superiore
No
23°C 100.0%
18°C o inferiore <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$70,863 Vol.
$70,863 Vol.
18°C o inferiore
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
Sì
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C o superiore
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 14, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Recent forecast consensus from Météo-France, ECMWF, and GFS models supports a daytime maximum near 23°C at Paris-Le Bourget, following cooler northwest maritime air advection after the prior day's 33°C peak. Variable cloud cover and moderate northwest winds are limiting insolation and keeping values aligned with the late-September climatological average high of 21.5°C. This stable signal underpins the market-implied odds concentrating at 23°C. A realistic challenge could arise from faster-than-expected clearing skies boosting surface heating or persistent low stratus suppressing the peak below the 23°C threshold, with final resolution hinging on the official NOAA observation.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
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