Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a minimum temperature of 27°C for September 17 under the influence of a fresh northeast monsoon and anticyclone, which are sustaining generally fine, dry conditions across southern China with easterly winds of force 4, occasionally 5 offshore. This setup supports overnight radiative cooling to around 27°C before daytime heating reaches 32°C, consistent with current station readings near 27°C in the early morning hours and historical September baselines for the region. Market-implied odds heavily favor 27°C because any deviation would require unexpected changes in cloud cover, wind patterns, or moisture advection that current model consensus does not support. The lowest temperature resolves according to official HKO measurements, with limited realistic scenarios—such as localized urban heat effects or brief isolated showers—unlikely to shift the outcome below 26°C or above 28°C given the stable synoptic pattern.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di Hong Kong il 17 settembre?
La temperatura più bassa di Hong Kong il 17 settembre?
27°C 94%
26°C 6%
23°C 1.0%
25°C 1.0%
NUOVO
$27,976 Vol.
NUOVO
$27,976 Vol.
17 set 2026
21°C o inferiore
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
6%
27°C
94%
28°C
1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C o superiore
<1%
27°C 94%
26°C 6%
23°C 1.0%
25°C 1.0%
NUOVO
$27,976 Vol.
NUOVO
$27,976 Vol.
17 set 2026
21°C o inferiore
$86 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$154 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$93 Vol.
1%
24°C
$56 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$2,350 Vol.
1%
26°C
$7,586 Vol.
6%
27°C
$11,041 Vol.
94%
28°C
$5,182 Vol.
1%
29°C
$153 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$1,237 Vol.
<1%
31°C o superiore
$37 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a minimum temperature of 27°C for September 17 under the influence of a fresh northeast monsoon and anticyclone, which are sustaining generally fine, dry conditions across southern China with easterly winds of force 4, occasionally 5 offshore. This setup supports overnight radiative cooling to around 27°C before daytime heating reaches 32°C, consistent with current station readings near 27°C in the early morning hours and historical September baselines for the region. Market-implied odds heavily favor 27°C because any deviation would require unexpected changes in cloud cover, wind patterns, or moisture advection that current model consensus does not support. The lowest temperature resolves according to official HKO measurements, with limited realistic scenarios—such as localized urban heat effects or brief isolated showers—unlikely to shift the outcome below 26°C or above 28°C given the stable synoptic pattern.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: Sep 15, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$27,976Data di fine
17 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 15, 2026, 12:29 AM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a minimum temperature of 27°C for September 17 under the influence of a fresh northeast monsoon and anticyclone, which are sustaining generally fine, dry conditions across southern China with easterly winds of force 4, occasionally 5 offshore. This setup supports overnight radiative cooling to around 27°C before daytime heating reaches 32°C, consistent with current station readings near 27°C in the early morning hours and historical September baselines for the region. Market-implied odds heavily favor 27°C because any deviation would require unexpected changes in cloud cover, wind patterns, or moisture advection that current model consensus does not support. The lowest temperature resolves according to official HKO measurements, with limited realistic scenarios—such as localized urban heat effects or brief isolated showers—unlikely to shift the outcome below 26°C or above 28°C given the stable synoptic pattern.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$27,976Data di fine
17 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 15, 2026, 12:29 AM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a minimum temperature of 27°C for September 17 under the influence of a fresh northeast monsoon and anticyclone, which are sustaining generally fine, dry conditions across southern China with easterly winds of force 4, occasionally 5 offshore. This setup supports overnight radiative cooling to around 27°C before daytime heating reaches 32°C, consistent with current station readings near 27°C in the early morning hours and historical September baselines for the region. Market-implied odds heavily favor 27°C because any deviation would require unexpected changes in cloud cover, wind patterns, or moisture advection that current model consensus does not support. The lowest temperature resolves according to official HKO measurements, with limited realistic scenarios—such as localized urban heat effects or brief isolated showers—unlikely to shift the outcome below 26°C or above 28°C given the stable synoptic pattern.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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