Official Hong Kong Observatory measurements recorded a minimum air temperature of 27°C on September 16, 2026, matching the dominant market-implied odds of 99.5%. Persistent easterly flow, elevated humidity near 75–80%, and overnight cloud cover limited radiative cooling, keeping temperatures from falling to the 26°C or lower thresholds priced at under 2% combined. Real-time station data showed readings stabilizing near 27.4°C by early morning before rising steadily. This outcome aligns with late-September climatological norms of 23.5–25°C lows, tempered by the specific synoptic pattern that day. Only an unexpected station-specific anomaly or post-event data revision could realistically shift resolution away from 27°C.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di Hong Kong il 16 settembre?
La temperatura più bassa di Hong Kong il 16 settembre?
27°C 99.5%
26°C 2.0%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$15,871 Vol.
$15,871 Vol.
16 set 2026
21°C o inferiore
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
2%
27°C
100%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C o superiore
<1%
27°C 99.5%
26°C 2.0%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$15,871 Vol.
$15,871 Vol.
16 set 2026
21°C o inferiore
$188 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$188 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$115 Vol.
1%
24°C
$613 Vol.
1%
25°C
$1,248 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$3,903 Vol.
2%
27°C
$5,620 Vol.
100%
28°C
$1,623 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$28 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$1,172 Vol.
<1%
31°C o superiore
$1,172 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Hong Kong Observatory measurements recorded a minimum air temperature of 27°C on September 16, 2026, matching the dominant market-implied odds of 99.5%. Persistent easterly flow, elevated humidity near 75–80%, and overnight cloud cover limited radiative cooling, keeping temperatures from falling to the 26°C or lower thresholds priced at under 2% combined. Real-time station data showed readings stabilizing near 27.4°C by early morning before rising steadily. This outcome aligns with late-September climatological norms of 23.5–25°C lows, tempered by the specific synoptic pattern that day. Only an unexpected station-specific anomaly or post-event data revision could realistically shift resolution away from 27°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: Sep 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$15,871Data di fine
16 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Hong Kong Observatory measurements recorded a minimum air temperature of 27°C on September 16, 2026, matching the dominant market-implied odds of 99.5%. Persistent easterly flow, elevated humidity near 75–80%, and overnight cloud cover limited radiative cooling, keeping temperatures from falling to the 26°C or lower thresholds priced at under 2% combined. Real-time station data showed readings stabilizing near 27.4°C by early morning before rising steadily. This outcome aligns with late-September climatological norms of 23.5–25°C lows, tempered by the specific synoptic pattern that day. Only an unexpected station-specific anomaly or post-event data revision could realistically shift resolution away from 27°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$15,871Data di fine
16 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Official Hong Kong Observatory measurements recorded a minimum air temperature of 27°C on September 16, 2026, matching the dominant market-implied odds of 99.5%. Persistent easterly flow, elevated humidity near 75–80%, and overnight cloud cover limited radiative cooling, keeping temperatures from falling to the 26°C or lower thresholds priced at under 2% combined. Real-time station data showed readings stabilizing near 27.4°C by early morning before rising steadily. This outcome aligns with late-September climatological norms of 23.5–25°C lows, tempered by the specific synoptic pattern that day. Only an unexpected station-specific anomaly or post-event data revision could realistically shift resolution away from 27°C.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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