Current forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and supporting models indicate a maximum of 31–32°C on September 18 under sunny skies, light easterly winds of 4–5, and low precipitation risk, producing the tight 37.5%–37.0% split between those outcomes. Weakening monsoon flow combined with high-pressure influence is maintaining clear, dry conditions that favor diurnal heating near seasonal September norms of around 30–31°C. Minor model variations in peak timing and boundary-layer warmth, plus potential local measurement differences at the reference station, account for the close probabilities rather than any major shift in synoptic pattern. Updated guidance and real-time observations tomorrow will resolve the final maximum.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Hong Kong il 18 settembre?
La temperatura più alta di Hong Kong il 18 settembre?
32°C 42%
31°C 32%
30°C 15%
33°C 13%
NUOVO
NUOVO
18 set 2026
25°C o inferiore
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
3%
30°C
15%
31°C
32%
32°C
42%
33°C
13%
34°C
2%
35°C o superiore
<1%
32°C 42%
31°C 32%
30°C 15%
33°C 13%
NUOVO
NUOVO
18 set 2026
25°C o inferiore
$739 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$259 Vol.
1%
27°C
$263 Vol.
1%
28°C
$275 Vol.
1%
29°C
$178 Vol.
3%
30°C
$252 Vol.
15%
31°C
$1,114 Vol.
32%
32°C
$2,785 Vol.
42%
33°C
$617 Vol.
13%
34°C
$367 Vol.
2%
35°C o superiore
$388 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and supporting models indicate a maximum of 31–32°C on September 18 under sunny skies, light easterly winds of 4–5, and low precipitation risk, producing the tight 37.5%–37.0% split between those outcomes. Weakening monsoon flow combined with high-pressure influence is maintaining clear, dry conditions that favor diurnal heating near seasonal September norms of around 30–31°C. Minor model variations in peak timing and boundary-layer warmth, plus potential local measurement differences at the reference station, account for the close probabilities rather than any major shift in synoptic pattern. Updated guidance and real-time observations tomorrow will resolve the final maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: Sep 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$7,236Data di fine
18 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and supporting models indicate a maximum of 31–32°C on September 18 under sunny skies, light easterly winds of 4–5, and low precipitation risk, producing the tight 37.5%–37.0% split between those outcomes. Weakening monsoon flow combined with high-pressure influence is maintaining clear, dry conditions that favor diurnal heating near seasonal September norms of around 30–31°C. Minor model variations in peak timing and boundary-layer warmth, plus potential local measurement differences at the reference station, account for the close probabilities rather than any major shift in synoptic pattern. Updated guidance and real-time observations tomorrow will resolve the final maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$7,236Data di fine
18 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and supporting models indicate a maximum of 31–32°C on September 18 under sunny skies, light easterly winds of 4–5, and low precipitation risk, producing the tight 37.5%–37.0% split between those outcomes. Weakening monsoon flow combined with high-pressure influence is maintaining clear, dry conditions that favor diurnal heating near seasonal September norms of around 30–31°C. Minor model variations in peak timing and boundary-layer warmth, plus potential local measurement differences at the reference station, account for the close probabilities rather than any major shift in synoptic pattern. Updated guidance and real-time observations tomorrow will resolve the final maximum.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti