Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a minimum temperature of 27°C for September 18 under persistent northeast monsoon flow and an aloft anticyclone maintaining fine, dry conditions with east to northeast winds of force 3–5. This setup suppresses cloud cover and moisture, supporting overnight lows near the upper end of typical early-autumn values. Ensemble model consensus and recent observations align closely with this range, though minor variations in wind strength or boundary-layer mixing could allow a 26°C reading. Market-implied odds reflect this stable pattern, with limited scope for cooler outcomes absent an unexpected surge in the monsoon or increased radiative cooling. Updated HKO guidance and real-time station data will determine final resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di Hong Kong il 18 settembre?
La temperatura più bassa di Hong Kong il 18 settembre?
27°C 54%
26°C 41%
25°C 7%
23°C 4%
NUOVO
NUOVO
18 set 2026
21°C o inferiore
2%
22°C
3%
23°C
4%
24°C
4%
25°C
7%
26°C
41%
27°C
54%
28°C
2%
29°C
3%
30°C
1%
31°C o superiore
1%
27°C 54%
26°C 41%
25°C 7%
23°C 4%
NUOVO
NUOVO
18 set 2026
21°C o inferiore
$0 Vol.
2%
22°C
$0 Vol.
3%
23°C
$0 Vol.
4%
24°C
$0 Vol.
4%
25°C
$202 Vol.
7%
26°C
$2,316 Vol.
41%
27°C
$1,032 Vol.
54%
28°C
$55 Vol.
2%
29°C
$0 Vol.
3%
30°C
$235 Vol.
1%
31°C o superiore
$231 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a minimum temperature of 27°C for September 18 under persistent northeast monsoon flow and an aloft anticyclone maintaining fine, dry conditions with east to northeast winds of force 3–5. This setup suppresses cloud cover and moisture, supporting overnight lows near the upper end of typical early-autumn values. Ensemble model consensus and recent observations align closely with this range, though minor variations in wind strength or boundary-layer mixing could allow a 26°C reading. Market-implied odds reflect this stable pattern, with limited scope for cooler outcomes absent an unexpected surge in the monsoon or increased radiative cooling. Updated HKO guidance and real-time station data will determine final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: Sep 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$4,071Data di fine
18 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a minimum temperature of 27°C for September 18 under persistent northeast monsoon flow and an aloft anticyclone maintaining fine, dry conditions with east to northeast winds of force 3–5. This setup suppresses cloud cover and moisture, supporting overnight lows near the upper end of typical early-autumn values. Ensemble model consensus and recent observations align closely with this range, though minor variations in wind strength or boundary-layer mixing could allow a 26°C reading. Market-implied odds reflect this stable pattern, with limited scope for cooler outcomes absent an unexpected surge in the monsoon or increased radiative cooling. Updated HKO guidance and real-time station data will determine final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$4,071Data di fine
18 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a minimum temperature of 27°C for September 18 under persistent northeast monsoon flow and an aloft anticyclone maintaining fine, dry conditions with east to northeast winds of force 3–5. This setup suppresses cloud cover and moisture, supporting overnight lows near the upper end of typical early-autumn values. Ensemble model consensus and recent observations align closely with this range, though minor variations in wind strength or boundary-layer mixing could allow a 26°C reading. Market-implied odds reflect this stable pattern, with limited scope for cooler outcomes absent an unexpected surge in the monsoon or increased radiative cooling. Updated HKO guidance and real-time station data will determine final resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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