Forecast models for Jeddah on September 19 project overnight minimum temperatures near 28–30°C under persistent high pressure and clear skies, consistent with September climatology where Red Sea humidity moderates diurnal ranges. Multiple ensemble runs show limited spread in the early-morning low, yet subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing, local sea-breeze timing, and model resolution of coastal effects create genuine uncertainty around the precise threshold. This scientific ambiguity, combined with the market’s resolution criteria for the daily minimum, underpins the near-even implied probabilities across adjacent temperature bins as traders weigh the latest observational updates and short-range guidance.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Gedda il 19 settembre?
31°C 52%
25°C o inferiore 49%
35°C o superiore 46%
26°C 39%
25°C o inferiore
49%
26°C
39%
27°C
39%
28°C
39%
29°C
39%
30°C
26%
31°C
52%
32°C
39%
33°C
39%
34°C
39%
35°C o superiore
46%
31°C 52%
25°C o inferiore 49%
35°C o superiore 46%
26°C 39%
25°C o inferiore
49%
26°C
39%
27°C
39%
28°C
39%
29°C
39%
30°C
26%
31°C
52%
32°C
39%
33°C
39%
34°C
39%
35°C o superiore
46%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 17, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejnRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejnRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models for Jeddah on September 19 project overnight minimum temperatures near 28–30°C under persistent high pressure and clear skies, consistent with September climatology where Red Sea humidity moderates diurnal ranges. Multiple ensemble runs show limited spread in the early-morning low, yet subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing, local sea-breeze timing, and model resolution of coastal effects create genuine uncertainty around the precise threshold. This scientific ambiguity, combined with the market’s resolution criteria for the daily minimum, underpins the near-even implied probabilities across adjacent temperature bins as traders weigh the latest observational updates and short-range guidance.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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