Recent frontal passage and rainfall through September 18 have advected cooler, moist air into the Yangtze valley, elevating boundary-layer humidity and suppressing daytime heating. For the 19th, official guidance from the China Meteorological Administration indicates clearing skies with light northerly flow, promoting modest nocturnal radiative cooling but limited by residual moisture and urban heat-island effects; ensemble forecasts cluster the overnight minimum near 21–23 °C. This narrow range sits between the market’s 17 °C-or-below and 27 °C-or-higher bins, where small differences in cloud cover, wind speed, or dew-point depression can shift the low by 2–4 °C. Traders appear to price residual model spread and the possibility of either stronger post-frontal clearing or lingering low-level moisture as equally plausible.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Wuhan il 19 settembre?
17°C o meno 100%
27°C o superiore 98%
19°C 40%
20°C 40%
17°C o meno
100%
18°C
39%
19°C
40%
20°C
40%
21°C
39%
22°C
39%
23°C
39%
24°C
39%
25°C
39%
26°C
39%
27°C o superiore
98%
17°C o meno 100%
27°C o superiore 98%
19°C 40%
20°C 40%
17°C o meno
100%
18°C
39%
19°C
40%
20°C
40%
21°C
39%
22°C
39%
23°C
39%
24°C
39%
25°C
39%
26°C
39%
27°C o superiore
98%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 17, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent frontal passage and rainfall through September 18 have advected cooler, moist air into the Yangtze valley, elevating boundary-layer humidity and suppressing daytime heating. For the 19th, official guidance from the China Meteorological Administration indicates clearing skies with light northerly flow, promoting modest nocturnal radiative cooling but limited by residual moisture and urban heat-island effects; ensemble forecasts cluster the overnight minimum near 21–23 °C. This narrow range sits between the market’s 17 °C-or-below and 27 °C-or-higher bins, where small differences in cloud cover, wind speed, or dew-point depression can shift the low by 2–4 °C. Traders appear to price residual model spread and the possibility of either stronger post-frontal clearing or lingering low-level moisture as equally plausible.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti