**Trader consensus at 94% for 10 or more states in D4 exceptional drought the week of September 22, 2026, stems primarily from persistent, widespread severe dryness across the contiguous United States.** The record-warmest June–August 2026 combined with below-normal precipitation has sustained drought over nearly 50% of the country according to the U.S. Drought Monitor, with D4 conditions entrenched in multiple Western, Southern Plains, and Northeastern states. Official observations through mid-September show flash drought intensification in key areas and limited relief, keeping exceptional drought (the highest USDM category) present in well over 10 states. Short-term model consensus and seasonal outlooks indicate little change before the data cutoff for the relevant weekly map. A broad, heavy precipitation event across multiple drought cores could reduce the count, though current forecasts make that outcome unlikely.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoQuanti stati saranno in D4 (siccità eccezionale) — settimana del 22 settembre 2026?
Quanti stati saranno in D4 (siccità eccezionale) — settimana del 22 settembre 2026?
10 o più stati 94%
7-9 stati 5%
1-2 stati 3.0%
3-4 stati 3.0%
NUOVO
NUOVO
24 set 2026
0 stati
1%
1-2 stati
3%
3-4 stati
3%
5-6 stati
3%
7-9 stati
5%
10 o più stati
94%
10 o più stati 94%
7-9 stati 5%
1-2 stati 3.0%
3-4 stati 3.0%
NUOVO
NUOVO
24 set 2026
0 stati
$25 Vol.
1%
1-2 stati
$0 Vol.
3%
3-4 stati
$0 Vol.
3%
5-6 stati
$0 Vol.
3%
7-9 stati
$0 Vol.
5%
10 o più stati
$0 Vol.
94%
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the number of coterminous US states (out of 48) with D4 percent area of 0.05% or more in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of September 22, 2026.
Brackets: 0 / 1-2 / 3-4 / 5-6 / 7-9 / 10+. Exactly one bracket resolves "Yes".
The count ranges over all 48 coterminous states — the 48 states excluding Alaska and Hawaii. The District of Columbia and U.S. territories are not considered.
Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday.
Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final.
If the US Drought Monitor has not been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the scheduled publication date, this market will resolve to the "0 states" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.**Trader consensus at 94% for 10 or more states in D4 exceptional drought the week of September 22, 2026, stems primarily from persistent, widespread severe dryness across the contiguous United States.** The record-warmest June–August 2026 combined with below-normal precipitation has sustained drought over nearly 50% of the country according to the U.S. Drought Monitor, with D4 conditions entrenched in multiple Western, Southern Plains, and Northeastern states. Official observations through mid-September show flash drought intensification in key areas and limited relief, keeping exceptional drought (the highest USDM category) present in well over 10 states. Short-term model consensus and seasonal outlooks indicate little change before the data cutoff for the relevant weekly map. A broad, heavy precipitation event across multiple drought cores could reduce the count, though current forecasts make that outcome unlikely.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the number of coterminous US states (out of 48) with D4 percent area of 0.05% or more in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of September 22, 2026.
Brackets: 0 / 1-2 / 3-4 / 5-6 / 7-9 / 10+. Exactly one bracket resolves "Yes".
The count ranges over all 48 coterminous states — the 48 states excluding Alaska and Hawaii. The District of Columbia and U.S. territories are not considered.
Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday.
Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final.
If the US Drought Monitor has not been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the scheduled publication date, this market will resolve to the "0 states" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.
Brackets: 0 / 1-2 / 3-4 / 5-6 / 7-9 / 10+. Exactly one bracket resolves "Yes".
The count ranges over all 48 coterminous states — the 48 states excluding Alaska and Hawaii. The District of Columbia and U.S. territories are not considered.
Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday.
Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final.
If the US Drought Monitor has not been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the scheduled publication date, this market will resolve to the "0 states" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.
Mercato aperto: Sep 17, 2026, 9:00 AM ET
Volume
$25Data di fine
24 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 17, 2026, 9:00 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://droughtmonitor.unl.edu/DmData/DataTables.aspxRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the bracket containing the number of coterminous US states (out of 48) with D4 percent area of 0.05% or more in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of September 22, 2026.
Brackets: 0 / 1-2 / 3-4 / 5-6 / 7-9 / 10+. Exactly one bracket resolves "Yes".
The count ranges over all 48 coterminous states — the 48 states excluding Alaska and Hawaii. The District of Columbia and U.S. territories are not considered.
Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday.
Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final.
If the US Drought Monitor has not been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the scheduled publication date, this market will resolve to the "0 states" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.**Trader consensus at 94% for 10 or more states in D4 exceptional drought the week of September 22, 2026, stems primarily from persistent, widespread severe dryness across the contiguous United States.** The record-warmest June–August 2026 combined with below-normal precipitation has sustained drought over nearly 50% of the country according to the U.S. Drought Monitor, with D4 conditions entrenched in multiple Western, Southern Plains, and Northeastern states. Official observations through mid-September show flash drought intensification in key areas and limited relief, keeping exceptional drought (the highest USDM category) present in well over 10 states. Short-term model consensus and seasonal outlooks indicate little change before the data cutoff for the relevant weekly map. A broad, heavy precipitation event across multiple drought cores could reduce the count, though current forecasts make that outcome unlikely.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the number of coterminous US states (out of 48) with D4 percent area of 0.05% or more in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of September 22, 2026.
Brackets: 0 / 1-2 / 3-4 / 5-6 / 7-9 / 10+. Exactly one bracket resolves "Yes".
The count ranges over all 48 coterminous states — the 48 states excluding Alaska and Hawaii. The District of Columbia and U.S. territories are not considered.
Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday.
Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final.
If the US Drought Monitor has not been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the scheduled publication date, this market will resolve to the "0 states" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.
Brackets: 0 / 1-2 / 3-4 / 5-6 / 7-9 / 10+. Exactly one bracket resolves "Yes".
The count ranges over all 48 coterminous states — the 48 states excluding Alaska and Hawaii. The District of Columbia and U.S. territories are not considered.
Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday.
Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final.
If the US Drought Monitor has not been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the scheduled publication date, this market will resolve to the "0 states" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.
Volume
$25Data di fine
24 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 17, 2026, 9:00 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://droughtmonitor.unl.edu/DmData/DataTables.aspxRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus at 94% for 10 or more states in D4 exceptional drought the week of September 22, 2026, stems primarily from persistent, widespread severe dryness across the contiguous United States.** The record-warmest June–August 2026 combined with below-normal precipitation has sustained drought over nearly 50% of the country according to the U.S. Drought Monitor, with D4 conditions entrenched in multiple Western, Southern Plains, and Northeastern states. Official observations through mid-September show flash drought intensification in key areas and limited relief, keeping exceptional drought (the highest USDM category) present in well over 10 states. Short-term model consensus and seasonal outlooks indicate little change before the data cutoff for the relevant weekly map. A broad, heavy precipitation event across multiple drought cores could reduce the count, though current forecasts make that outcome unlikely.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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