US-mediated talks between Israel and Lebanon, building on the June 2026 trilateral framework agreement signed in Washington, continue to shape prospects for additional diplomatic meetings. That accord established a sequenced process for Lebanese Armed Forces control of pilot zones in southern Lebanon, verified Hezbollah disarmament, and progressive Israeli redeployments, with implementation tied to security benchmarks rather than fixed timelines. Technical discussions in Rome in early August advanced coordination on borders, military issues, and verification standards, though one round ended early amid ground escalations. Israel’s capture of a strategic ridge near the border on September 4 consolidated its security zone position while Hezbollah rejected the framework. The next political round is scheduled for early September in Rome, with interim talks in multiple capitals. Trader assessments reflect the performance-based nature of progress and risks from ongoing cross-border incidents.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato$347,054 Vol.
1 ott 2026
9 settembre
4%
11 settembre
6%
13 settembre
12%
15 settembre
42%
September 30
78%
$347,054 Vol.
9 settembre
$13,655 Vol.
4%
11 settembre
$5,523 Vol.
6%
13 settembre
$8,047 Vol.
12%
15 settembre
$61,016 Vol.
42%
September 30
$50,308 Vol.
78%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Israel and Lebanon between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Lebanon relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the Israel and Lebanon, and a consensus of credible reporting.US-mediated talks between Israel and Lebanon, building on the June 2026 trilateral framework agreement signed in Washington, continue to shape prospects for additional diplomatic meetings. That accord established a sequenced process for Lebanese Armed Forces control of pilot zones in southern Lebanon, verified Hezbollah disarmament, and progressive Israeli redeployments, with implementation tied to security benchmarks rather than fixed timelines. Technical discussions in Rome in early August advanced coordination on borders, military issues, and verification standards, though one round ended early amid ground escalations. Israel’s capture of a strategic ridge near the border on September 4 consolidated its security zone position while Hezbollah rejected the framework. The next political round is scheduled for early September in Rome, with interim talks in multiple capitals. Trader assessments reflect the performance-based nature of progress and risks from ongoing cross-border incidents.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Israel and Lebanon between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Lebanon relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the Israel and Lebanon, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Lebanon relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the Israel and Lebanon, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercato aperto: Aug 10, 2026, 6:44 PM ET
Volume
$347,054Data di fine
30 set 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 10, 2026, 6:44 PM ETRisolutore
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Israel and Lebanon between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Lebanon relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the Israel and Lebanon, and a consensus of credible reporting.US-mediated talks between Israel and Lebanon, building on the June 2026 trilateral framework agreement signed in Washington, continue to shape prospects for additional diplomatic meetings. That accord established a sequenced process for Lebanese Armed Forces control of pilot zones in southern Lebanon, verified Hezbollah disarmament, and progressive Israeli redeployments, with implementation tied to security benchmarks rather than fixed timelines. Technical discussions in Rome in early August advanced coordination on borders, military issues, and verification standards, though one round ended early amid ground escalations. Israel’s capture of a strategic ridge near the border on September 4 consolidated its security zone position while Hezbollah rejected the framework. The next political round is scheduled for early September in Rome, with interim talks in multiple capitals. Trader assessments reflect the performance-based nature of progress and risks from ongoing cross-border incidents.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Israel and Lebanon between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Lebanon relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the Israel and Lebanon, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Lebanon relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the Israel and Lebanon, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$347,054Data di fine
30 set 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 10, 2026, 6:44 PM ETRisolutore
0x65070BE91...US-mediated talks between Israel and Lebanon, building on the June 2026 trilateral framework agreement signed in Washington, continue to shape prospects for additional diplomatic meetings. That accord established a sequenced process for Lebanese Armed Forces control of pilot zones in southern Lebanon, verified Hezbollah disarmament, and progressive Israeli redeployments, with implementation tied to security benchmarks rather than fixed timelines. Technical discussions in Rome in early August advanced coordination on borders, military issues, and verification standards, though one round ended early amid ground escalations. Israel’s capture of a strategic ridge near the border on September 4 consolidated its security zone position while Hezbollah rejected the framework. The next political round is scheduled for early September in Rome, with interim talks in multiple capitals. Trader assessments reflect the performance-based nature of progress and risks from ongoing cross-border incidents.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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