Recent model consensus from GFS and other guidance points to a high near 19–20°C in Warsaw on August 24, with light westerly flow, increasing morning cloud cover, and a chance of isolated showers limiting afternoon heating. This aligns with the market’s tight clustering between the 19°C and 20°C outcomes. Cooler-than-average conditions follow several days of suppressed temperatures, while longer-term August climatology favors slightly higher maxima; any shift in shower timing or reduced cloud cover could allow a brief push toward 21°C. New ensemble runs overnight will further constrain the range ahead of official observations.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Varsavia il 24 agosto?
La temperatura più alta a Varsavia il 24 agosto?
20°C 40%
19°C 34%
21°C 12%
18°C 11%
NUOVO
NUOVO
24 ago 2026
15°C o inferiore
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
4%
18°C
11%
19°C
34%
20°C
40%
21°C
12%
22°C
3%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C o superiore
<1%
20°C 40%
19°C 34%
21°C 12%
18°C 11%
NUOVO
NUOVO
24 ago 2026
15°C o inferiore
$135 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$85 Vol.
1%
17°C
$85 Vol.
4%
18°C
$262 Vol.
11%
19°C
$122 Vol.
34%
20°C
$703 Vol.
40%
21°C
$83 Vol.
12%
22°C
$91 Vol.
3%
23°C
$138 Vol.
1%
24°C
$145 Vol.
1%
25°C o superiore
$265 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from GFS and other guidance points to a high near 19–20°C in Warsaw on August 24, with light westerly flow, increasing morning cloud cover, and a chance of isolated showers limiting afternoon heating. This aligns with the market’s tight clustering between the 19°C and 20°C outcomes. Cooler-than-average conditions follow several days of suppressed temperatures, while longer-term August climatology favors slightly higher maxima; any shift in shower timing or reduced cloud cover could allow a brief push toward 21°C. New ensemble runs overnight will further constrain the range ahead of official observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 22, 2026, 1:56 AM ET
Volume
$2,114Data di fine
24 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 22, 2026, 1:56 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from GFS and other guidance points to a high near 19–20°C in Warsaw on August 24, with light westerly flow, increasing morning cloud cover, and a chance of isolated showers limiting afternoon heating. This aligns with the market’s tight clustering between the 19°C and 20°C outcomes. Cooler-than-average conditions follow several days of suppressed temperatures, while longer-term August climatology favors slightly higher maxima; any shift in shower timing or reduced cloud cover could allow a brief push toward 21°C. New ensemble runs overnight will further constrain the range ahead of official observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,114Data di fine
24 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 22, 2026, 1:56 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from GFS and other guidance points to a high near 19–20°C in Warsaw on August 24, with light westerly flow, increasing morning cloud cover, and a chance of isolated showers limiting afternoon heating. This aligns with the market’s tight clustering between the 19°C and 20°C outcomes. Cooler-than-average conditions follow several days of suppressed temperatures, while longer-term August climatology favors slightly higher maxima; any shift in shower timing or reduced cloud cover could allow a brief push toward 21°C. New ensemble runs overnight will further constrain the range ahead of official observations.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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