Recent global forecast models, including GFS runs, converge on a daily maximum near 20°C in Warsaw on August 23 under building high pressure and a westerly flow of cooler maritime air, which limits daytime heating while suppressing cloud cover and precipitation. This synoptic pattern aligns with the market's heavy weighting toward 20°C (58% implied probability) over 19°C (33%), reflecting trader assessment of observational data from stations like Warsaw Okecie amid typical late-August variability. Historical August averages hover near 22–23°C, yet the current steering flow and modest insolation keep outcomes above 21°C at low single-digit odds. Updated model outputs and real-time surface observations through the afternoon will refine resolution against official thresholds.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Varsavia il 23 agosto?
La temperatura più alta a Varsavia il 23 agosto?
20°C 59%
19°C 33%
21°C 8%
18°C 3%
$15,823 Vol.
$15,823 Vol.
23 ago 2026
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
3%
19°C
33%
20°C
59%
21°C
8%
22°C
1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C or higher
<1%
20°C 59%
19°C 33%
21°C 8%
18°C 3%
$15,823 Vol.
$15,823 Vol.
23 ago 2026
15°C or below
$474 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$283 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$600 Vol.
1%
18°C
$1,773 Vol.
3%
19°C
$3,641 Vol.
33%
20°C
$2,387 Vol.
59%
21°C
$1,352 Vol.
8%
22°C
$1,245 Vol.
1%
23°C
$1,060 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$569 Vol.
<1%
25°C or higher
$2,440 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent global forecast models, including GFS runs, converge on a daily maximum near 20°C in Warsaw on August 23 under building high pressure and a westerly flow of cooler maritime air, which limits daytime heating while suppressing cloud cover and precipitation. This synoptic pattern aligns with the market's heavy weighting toward 20°C (58% implied probability) over 19°C (33%), reflecting trader assessment of observational data from stations like Warsaw Okecie amid typical late-August variability. Historical August averages hover near 22–23°C, yet the current steering flow and modest insolation keep outcomes above 21°C at low single-digit odds. Updated model outputs and real-time surface observations through the afternoon will refine resolution against official thresholds.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 21, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$15,823Data di fine
23 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 21, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent global forecast models, including GFS runs, converge on a daily maximum near 20°C in Warsaw on August 23 under building high pressure and a westerly flow of cooler maritime air, which limits daytime heating while suppressing cloud cover and precipitation. This synoptic pattern aligns with the market's heavy weighting toward 20°C (58% implied probability) over 19°C (33%), reflecting trader assessment of observational data from stations like Warsaw Okecie amid typical late-August variability. Historical August averages hover near 22–23°C, yet the current steering flow and modest insolation keep outcomes above 21°C at low single-digit odds. Updated model outputs and real-time surface observations through the afternoon will refine resolution against official thresholds.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$15,823Data di fine
23 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 21, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent global forecast models, including GFS runs, converge on a daily maximum near 20°C in Warsaw on August 23 under building high pressure and a westerly flow of cooler maritime air, which limits daytime heating while suppressing cloud cover and precipitation. This synoptic pattern aligns with the market's heavy weighting toward 20°C (58% implied probability) over 19°C (33%), reflecting trader assessment of observational data from stations like Warsaw Okecie amid typical late-August variability. Historical August averages hover near 22–23°C, yet the current steering flow and modest insolation keep outcomes above 21°C at low single-digit odds. Updated model outputs and real-time surface observations through the afternoon will refine resolution against official thresholds.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti