**Forecast consensus from official agencies and models centers the highest temperature for Seoul/Incheon on August 26, 2026, near 29–30 °C, directly supporting the market’s leading outcomes.** Multiple sources, including the Korea Meteorological Administration and international models, project a daytime maximum around 29 °C under mostly cloudy skies with light westerly flow, high humidity (70–90 %), and a modest chance of drizzle or scattered showers that limit surface heating. These conditions align with late-August climatology for the region, where typical highs average near 29 °C and persistent moisture plus cloud cover prevent stronger insolation that would push readings into the low 30s. Recent short-term updates show stable steering patterns with no rapid intensification or clearing expected, keeping the distribution tightly clustered around 29–31 °C and explaining why lower or higher extremes carry minimal implied probability. Traders appear to be weighting the narrow forecast spread and historical analogs for similar synoptic setups, with resolution hinging on the precise peak reading recorded at official stations.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Seoul (Incheon) il 26 agosto?
La temperatura più alta a Seoul (Incheon) il 26 agosto?
30°C 40%
31°C 27%
29°C 23%
28°C 5%
NUOVO
NUOVO
26 ago 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
2%
28°C
5%
29°C
23%
30°C
40%
31°C
27%
32°C
3%
33°C or higher
2%
30°C 40%
31°C 27%
29°C 23%
28°C 5%
NUOVO
NUOVO
26 ago 2026
23°C or below
$366 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$366 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$366 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$196 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$358 Vol.
2%
28°C
$1,049 Vol.
5%
29°C
$1,409 Vol.
23%
30°C
$296 Vol.
40%
31°C
$443 Vol.
27%
32°C
$176 Vol.
3%
33°C or higher
$477 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from official agencies and models centers the highest temperature for Seoul/Incheon on August 26, 2026, near 29–30 °C, directly supporting the market’s leading outcomes.** Multiple sources, including the Korea Meteorological Administration and international models, project a daytime maximum around 29 °C under mostly cloudy skies with light westerly flow, high humidity (70–90 %), and a modest chance of drizzle or scattered showers that limit surface heating. These conditions align with late-August climatology for the region, where typical highs average near 29 °C and persistent moisture plus cloud cover prevent stronger insolation that would push readings into the low 30s. Recent short-term updates show stable steering patterns with no rapid intensification or clearing expected, keeping the distribution tightly clustered around 29–31 °C and explaining why lower or higher extremes carry minimal implied probability. Traders appear to be weighting the narrow forecast spread and historical analogs for similar synoptic setups, with resolution hinging on the precise peak reading recorded at official stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$5,502Data di fine
26 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from official agencies and models centers the highest temperature for Seoul/Incheon on August 26, 2026, near 29–30 °C, directly supporting the market’s leading outcomes.** Multiple sources, including the Korea Meteorological Administration and international models, project a daytime maximum around 29 °C under mostly cloudy skies with light westerly flow, high humidity (70–90 %), and a modest chance of drizzle or scattered showers that limit surface heating. These conditions align with late-August climatology for the region, where typical highs average near 29 °C and persistent moisture plus cloud cover prevent stronger insolation that would push readings into the low 30s. Recent short-term updates show stable steering patterns with no rapid intensification or clearing expected, keeping the distribution tightly clustered around 29–31 °C and explaining why lower or higher extremes carry minimal implied probability. Traders appear to be weighting the narrow forecast spread and historical analogs for similar synoptic setups, with resolution hinging on the precise peak reading recorded at official stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$5,502Data di fine
26 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast consensus from official agencies and models centers the highest temperature for Seoul/Incheon on August 26, 2026, near 29–30 °C, directly supporting the market’s leading outcomes.** Multiple sources, including the Korea Meteorological Administration and international models, project a daytime maximum around 29 °C under mostly cloudy skies with light westerly flow, high humidity (70–90 %), and a modest chance of drizzle or scattered showers that limit surface heating. These conditions align with late-August climatology for the region, where typical highs average near 29 °C and persistent moisture plus cloud cover prevent stronger insolation that would push readings into the low 30s. Recent short-term updates show stable steering patterns with no rapid intensification or clearing expected, keeping the distribution tightly clustered around 29–31 °C and explaining why lower or higher extremes carry minimal implied probability. Traders appear to be weighting the narrow forecast spread and historical analogs for similar synoptic setups, with resolution hinging on the precise peak reading recorded at official stations.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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