Recent model guidance and observational trends show Qingdao under a warm, humid airmass with light southerly flow, supporting daily maxima near 35–36 °C on August 2. Small differences between these bins hinge on afternoon cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing depth, and local sea-breeze timing, all of which numerical models resolve with only modest skill at 24–48 h lead times. Historical August climatology places the 95th-percentile high around 33–34 °C, so current conditions represent a modest positive anomaly. Updated CMA and ECMWF runs expected later today will tighten the temperature envelope and likely shift the tightly bunched 35 °C and 36 °C contracts.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Qingdao il 2 agosto?
36°C 41%
35°C 31%
37°C 23%
38°C o superiore 6%
28°C o inferiore
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
1%
33°C
1%
34°C
5%
35°C
31%
36°C
41%
37°C
23%
38°C o superiore
6%
36°C 41%
35°C 31%
37°C 23%
38°C o superiore 6%
28°C o inferiore
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
1%
33°C
1%
34°C
5%
35°C
31%
36°C
41%
37°C
23%
38°C o superiore
6%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jul 31, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model guidance and observational trends show Qingdao under a warm, humid airmass with light southerly flow, supporting daily maxima near 35–36 °C on August 2. Small differences between these bins hinge on afternoon cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing depth, and local sea-breeze timing, all of which numerical models resolve with only modest skill at 24–48 h lead times. Historical August climatology places the 95th-percentile high around 33–34 °C, so current conditions represent a modest positive anomaly. Updated CMA and ECMWF runs expected later today will tighten the temperature envelope and likely shift the tightly bunched 35 °C and 36 °C contracts.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato


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