Traders have settled on 30°C as the highest temperature recorded in Milan on August 29, reflecting official meteorological observations from primary Italian weather stations that verified this daily maximum. Late-summer atmospheric patterns, including stable high-pressure influence over the Po Valley and moderate advection of warmer air masses, supported conditions consistent with historical late-August baselines of 28–32°C. The 100% market-implied probability underscores the strength of verified station data over model projections, as temperature records rely on standardized measurements at 2 meters height. Realistic challenges remain limited but could include minor revisions from secondary station comparisons or final quality-control adjustments by monitoring agencies.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Milano il 29 agosto?
30°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$38,304 Vol.
$38,304 Vol.
23°C or below
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
Yes
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C or higher
No
30°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$38,304 Vol.
$38,304 Vol.
23°C or below
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
Yes
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 27, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Traders have settled on 30°C as the highest temperature recorded in Milan on August 29, reflecting official meteorological observations from primary Italian weather stations that verified this daily maximum. Late-summer atmospheric patterns, including stable high-pressure influence over the Po Valley and moderate advection of warmer air masses, supported conditions consistent with historical late-August baselines of 28–32°C. The 100% market-implied probability underscores the strength of verified station data over model projections, as temperature records rely on standardized measurements at 2 meters height. Realistic challenges remain limited but could include minor revisions from secondary station comparisons or final quality-control adjustments by monitoring agencies.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti