Recent Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts and supporting model consensus project sunny conditions with southwest winds for Busan on August 24, supporting daytime highs of 32–34°C amid ongoing summer heat. This positions the 35°C outcome as the market leader at 45.5% implied probability, as traders weigh potential for localized warming above official guidance at the primary observation station, while 34°C and 36°C each hold 23.5% amid minor model spread. Persistent regional warmth without significant cloud cover or precipitation in the latest runs reinforces these central outcomes over lower or extreme values. Updated short-range guidance expected overnight could further refine peak timing before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Busan il 24 agosto?
35°C 46%
36°C 25%
34°C 22%
33°C 5%
28°C o inferiore
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
1%
33°C
5%
34°C
22%
35°C
46%
36°C
25%
37°C
4%
38°C o superiore
1%
35°C 46%
36°C 25%
34°C 22%
33°C 5%
28°C o inferiore
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
1%
33°C
5%
34°C
22%
35°C
46%
36°C
25%
37°C
4%
38°C o superiore
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 22, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts and supporting model consensus project sunny conditions with southwest winds for Busan on August 24, supporting daytime highs of 32–34°C amid ongoing summer heat. This positions the 35°C outcome as the market leader at 45.5% implied probability, as traders weigh potential for localized warming above official guidance at the primary observation station, while 34°C and 36°C each hold 23.5% amid minor model spread. Persistent regional warmth without significant cloud cover or precipitation in the latest runs reinforces these central outcomes over lower or extreme values. Updated short-range guidance expected overnight could further refine peak timing before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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