Recent numerical weather prediction models, including runs from the ECMWF and regional guidance aligned with the Turkish State Meteorological Service, indicate Ankara will reach a daily high of 32–33°C on August 26 under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light northeasterly winds. This consensus drives the market's strong weighting toward those two outcomes. Late-August climatology shows typical maxima near 32°C, with recent days trending cooler after a 35°C peak on August 22. Minimal precipitation or frontal activity is expected through the period, though minor model spread in boundary-layer mixing could still shift the exact peak by 1°C. Updated forecasts ahead of resolution will likely refine these probabilities.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta ad Ankara il 26 agosto?
33°C 53%
32°C 32%
34°C 11%
31°C 5%
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
5%
32°C
32%
33°C
53%
34°C
11%
35°C
2%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
33°C 53%
32°C 32%
34°C 11%
31°C 5%
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
5%
32°C
32%
33°C
53%
34°C
11%
35°C
2%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather prediction models, including runs from the ECMWF and regional guidance aligned with the Turkish State Meteorological Service, indicate Ankara will reach a daily high of 32–33°C on August 26 under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light northeasterly winds. This consensus drives the market's strong weighting toward those two outcomes. Late-August climatology shows typical maxima near 32°C, with recent days trending cooler after a 35°C peak on August 22. Minimal precipitation or frontal activity is expected through the period, though minor model spread in boundary-layer mixing could still shift the exact peak by 1°C. Updated forecasts ahead of resolution will likely refine these probabilities.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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