Esthela Damián Peralta leads the Guerrero governor election market at 70.6% implied probability due to her frontrunner status in the Morena-PT-PVEM coalition nomination process for the 2027 vote. As former legal counsel to President Claudia Sheinbaum, she resigned her federal post in April 2026 to register in June alongside roughly 15 other aspirants, including Beatriz Mojica Morga (27.1%) and lower-polling figures such as Abelina López Rodríguez and Karen Castrejón Trujillo. Recent internal surveys through September 2026 show Damián Peralta topping coalition preferences at 24-25%, ahead of Mojica, while Morena maintains a dominant 43-52% statewide party advantage over the PRI. Traders are pricing the coalition's strong position and her organizational edge in the ongoing survey-based selection, with limited movement from later developments.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoEsthela Damián Peralta 71.1%
Beatriz Mojica Morga 27.1%
Mario Moreno Arcos <1%
Marcial Rodríguez Saldaña <1%
$38,298 Vol.
$38,298 Vol.
Esthela Damián Peralta
71%
Beatriz Mojica Morga
27%
Mario Moreno Arcos
1%
Marcial Rodríguez Saldaña
1%
Manuel Añorve Baños
1%
Karen Castrejón Trujillo
1%
Yesenia Galarza Castro
<1%
Julián López Galeana
<1%
Pablo Amílcar Sandoval Ballesteros
<1%
Guadalupe Eguiluz
<1%
Gustavo Alarcón Herrera
<1%
Erika Lorena Lührs
<1%
Evodio Velázquez Aguirre
<1%
Félix Salgado Macedonio
<1%
Rogelio Ortega Martínez
<1%
Gabriela Bernal Reséndiz
<1%
Héctor Astudillo Flores
<1%
Alberto López Rosas
<1%
Iván Hernández Díaz
<1%
Javier Saldaña Almazán
<1%
Zeferino Gómez Valdovinos
<1%
Eloy Salmerón Díaz
<1%
Alejandro Bravo Abarca
<1%
Carlos Reyes Torres
<1%
Abelina López Rodríguez
<1%
Rubén Cayetano García
<1%
Genaro Vázquez Flores
<1%
Norma Otilia Hernández Martínez
<1%
Esthela Damián Peralta 71.1%
Beatriz Mojica Morga 27.1%
Mario Moreno Arcos <1%
Marcial Rodríguez Saldaña <1%
$38,298 Vol.
$38,298 Vol.
Esthela Damián Peralta
71%
Beatriz Mojica Morga
27%
Mario Moreno Arcos
1%
Marcial Rodríguez Saldaña
1%
Manuel Añorve Baños
1%
Karen Castrejón Trujillo
1%
Yesenia Galarza Castro
<1%
Julián López Galeana
<1%
Pablo Amílcar Sandoval Ballesteros
<1%
Guadalupe Eguiluz
<1%
Gustavo Alarcón Herrera
<1%
Erika Lorena Lührs
<1%
Evodio Velázquez Aguirre
<1%
Félix Salgado Macedonio
<1%
Rogelio Ortega Martínez
<1%
Gabriela Bernal Reséndiz
<1%
Héctor Astudillo Flores
<1%
Alberto López Rosas
<1%
Iván Hernández Díaz
<1%
Javier Saldaña Almazán
<1%
Zeferino Gómez Valdovinos
<1%
Eloy Salmerón Díaz
<1%
Alejandro Bravo Abarca
<1%
Carlos Reyes Torres
<1%
Abelina López Rodríguez
<1%
Rubén Cayetano García
<1%
Genaro Vázquez Flores
<1%
Norma Otilia Hernández Martínez
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Guerrero gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Guerrero and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Guerrero and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Mercato aperto: Aug 5, 2026, 7:28 AM ET
Risolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Guerrero gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Guerrero and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Guerrero and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Risolutore
0x69c47De9D...Esthela Damián Peralta leads the Guerrero governor election market at 70.6% implied probability due to her frontrunner status in the Morena-PT-PVEM coalition nomination process for the 2027 vote. As former legal counsel to President Claudia Sheinbaum, she resigned her federal post in April 2026 to register in June alongside roughly 15 other aspirants, including Beatriz Mojica Morga (27.1%) and lower-polling figures such as Abelina López Rodríguez and Karen Castrejón Trujillo. Recent internal surveys through September 2026 show Damián Peralta topping coalition preferences at 24-25%, ahead of Mojica, while Morena maintains a dominant 43-52% statewide party advantage over the PRI. Traders are pricing the coalition's strong position and her organizational edge in the ongoing survey-based selection, with limited movement from later developments.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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