With outcomes closely matched around 50% for Other and numerous labs alongside Moonshot at 35% and OpenAI at 33%, trader sentiment highlights intense competition in AI agent development. Labs differentiate through demonstrated agent capabilities such as autonomous task execution, tool use, and multi-step reasoning on benchmarks, plus recent model releases and platform integrations. Newer entrants like Moonshot and DeepSeek gain ground via rapid iteration and cost-efficient performance, while established players focus on safety, scalability, and enterprise features. The two-week window to end-of-August resolution leaves room for last-minute announcements or capability demos to shift consensus among traders assessing real progress.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiNvidia 49%
ByteDance 49%
Amazon 49%
Mistral 49%
BARU
BARU
Aug 31, 2026
Nvidia
49%
ByteDance
49%
Amazon
49%
Mistral
49%
Microsoft
49%
Moonshot
36%
OpenAI
29%
Alibaba
28%
SpaceXAI
27%
Z.ai
25%
25%
MiniMax
25%
Baidu
25%
Anthropic
24%
Meituan
24%
Meta
22%
Xiaomi
19%
DeepSeek
17%
Nvidia 49%
ByteDance 49%
Amazon 49%
Mistral 49%
BARU
BARU
Aug 31, 2026
Nvidia
$72 Vol.
49%
ByteDance
$41 Vol.
49%
Amazon
$74 Vol.
49%
Mistral
$43 Vol.
49%
Microsoft
$54 Vol.
49%
Moonshot
$10 Vol.
36%
OpenAI
$30 Vol.
29%
Alibaba
$10 Vol.
28%
SpaceXAI
$10 Vol.
27%
Z.ai
$10 Vol.
25%
$10 Vol.
25%
MiniMax
$58 Vol.
25%
Baidu
$69 Vol.
25%
Anthropic
$66 Vol.
24%
Meituan
$34 Vol.
24%
Meta
$10 Vol.
22%
Xiaomi
$10 Vol.
19%
DeepSeek
$10 Vol.
17%
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Labs" is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".With outcomes closely matched around 50% for Other and numerous labs alongside Moonshot at 35% and OpenAI at 33%, trader sentiment highlights intense competition in AI agent development. Labs differentiate through demonstrated agent capabilities such as autonomous task execution, tool use, and multi-step reasoning on benchmarks, plus recent model releases and platform integrations. Newer entrants like Moonshot and DeepSeek gain ground via rapid iteration and cost-efficient performance, while established players focus on safety, scalability, and enterprise features. The two-week window to end-of-August resolution leaves room for last-minute announcements or capability demos to shift consensus among traders assessing real progress.
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Labs" is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 12, 2026, 7:39 PM ET
Volume
$622Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 12, 2026, 7:39 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Labs" is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".With outcomes closely matched around 50% for Other and numerous labs alongside Moonshot at 35% and OpenAI at 33%, trader sentiment highlights intense competition in AI agent development. Labs differentiate through demonstrated agent capabilities such as autonomous task execution, tool use, and multi-step reasoning on benchmarks, plus recent model releases and platform integrations. Newer entrants like Moonshot and DeepSeek gain ground via rapid iteration and cost-efficient performance, while established players focus on safety, scalability, and enterprise features. The two-week window to end-of-August resolution leaves room for last-minute announcements or capability demos to shift consensus among traders assessing real progress.
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Labs" is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$622Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 12, 2026, 7:39 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...With outcomes closely matched around 50% for Other and numerous labs alongside Moonshot at 35% and OpenAI at 33%, trader sentiment highlights intense competition in AI agent development. Labs differentiate through demonstrated agent capabilities such as autonomous task execution, tool use, and multi-step reasoning on benchmarks, plus recent model releases and platform integrations. Newer entrants like Moonshot and DeepSeek gain ground via rapid iteration and cost-efficient performance, while established players focus on safety, scalability, and enterprise features. The two-week window to end-of-August resolution leaves room for last-minute announcements or capability demos to shift consensus among traders assessing real progress.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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