Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate overnight lows in Warsaw on September 1 likely ranging 15–17°C under partly cloudy skies with westerly winds of 5–10 m/s, supporting market-implied probabilities clustered around 15–16°C while elevating the 12°C-or-below outcome amid model spread. Primary drivers include radiative cooling under clearing skies after daytime highs near 21–24°C, limited cloud cover allowing greater heat loss, and modest advection of cooler maritime air from the west. Differentiating the tightly matched 12–16°C bands hinges on precise forecast timing of any weak frontal passage or wind shift, as even 1–2 m/s changes in nocturnal mixing or dew-point depression can shift the minimum by 1–2°C. Historical early-September climatology centers near 13–15°C lows, providing context for current trader emphasis on near-term model consensus and upcoming updates.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Warsaw on September 1?
Lowest temperature in Warsaw on September 1?
12°C or below 35%
15°C 31%
16°C 30%
17°C 26%
BARU
BARU
Sep 1, 2026
12°C or below
35%
13°C
9%
14°C
19%
15°C
31%
16°C
30%
17°C
26%
18°C
2%
19°C
5%
20°C
8%
21°C
8%
22°C or higher
2%
12°C or below 35%
15°C 31%
16°C 30%
17°C 26%
BARU
BARU
Sep 1, 2026
12°C or below
$49 Vol.
35%
13°C
$0 Vol.
9%
14°C
$0 Vol.
19%
15°C
$0 Vol.
31%
16°C
$0 Vol.
30%
17°C
$0 Vol.
26%
18°C
$0 Vol.
2%
19°C
$0 Vol.
5%
20°C
$10 Vol.
8%
21°C
$5 Vol.
8%
22°C or higher
$225 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate overnight lows in Warsaw on September 1 likely ranging 15–17°C under partly cloudy skies with westerly winds of 5–10 m/s, supporting market-implied probabilities clustered around 15–16°C while elevating the 12°C-or-below outcome amid model spread. Primary drivers include radiative cooling under clearing skies after daytime highs near 21–24°C, limited cloud cover allowing greater heat loss, and modest advection of cooler maritime air from the west. Differentiating the tightly matched 12–16°C bands hinges on precise forecast timing of any weak frontal passage or wind shift, as even 1–2 m/s changes in nocturnal mixing or dew-point depression can shift the minimum by 1–2°C. Historical early-September climatology centers near 13–15°C lows, providing context for current trader emphasis on near-term model consensus and upcoming updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$289Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 1, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate overnight lows in Warsaw on September 1 likely ranging 15–17°C under partly cloudy skies with westerly winds of 5–10 m/s, supporting market-implied probabilities clustered around 15–16°C while elevating the 12°C-or-below outcome amid model spread. Primary drivers include radiative cooling under clearing skies after daytime highs near 21–24°C, limited cloud cover allowing greater heat loss, and modest advection of cooler maritime air from the west. Differentiating the tightly matched 12–16°C bands hinges on precise forecast timing of any weak frontal passage or wind shift, as even 1–2 m/s changes in nocturnal mixing or dew-point depression can shift the minimum by 1–2°C. Historical early-September climatology centers near 13–15°C lows, providing context for current trader emphasis on near-term model consensus and upcoming updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$289Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 1, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate overnight lows in Warsaw on September 1 likely ranging 15–17°C under partly cloudy skies with westerly winds of 5–10 m/s, supporting market-implied probabilities clustered around 15–16°C while elevating the 12°C-or-below outcome amid model spread. Primary drivers include radiative cooling under clearing skies after daytime highs near 21–24°C, limited cloud cover allowing greater heat loss, and modest advection of cooler maritime air from the west. Differentiating the tightly matched 12–16°C bands hinges on precise forecast timing of any weak frontal passage or wind shift, as even 1–2 m/s changes in nocturnal mixing or dew-point depression can shift the minimum by 1–2°C. Historical early-September climatology centers near 13–15°C lows, providing context for current trader emphasis on near-term model consensus and upcoming updates.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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