Recent model consensus from GFS and ECMWF indicates Warsaw's overnight minimum on August 31 will hinge on cloud cover and scattered thunderstorm activity, which limit radiative cooling and keep lows near 15–17°C rather than allowing clearer skies to push readings lower. Current surface observations show southerly flow with dew points near 14–16°C supporting modest nocturnal drops, while historical August averages for the city hover around 14–15°C. Traders appear to weigh the balance between these conditions and any last-minute forecast shifts ahead of the daily minimum observation window.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Warsaw on August 31?
Lowest temperature in Warsaw on August 31?
20°C or higher 57%
17°C 38%
15°C 34%
16°C 32%
BARU
BARU
Aug 31, 2026
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
3%
12°C
<1%
13°C
9%
14°C
22%
15°C
34%
16°C
32%
17°C
38%
18°C
15%
19°C
14%
20°C or higher
57%
20°C or higher 57%
17°C 38%
15°C 34%
16°C 32%
BARU
BARU
Aug 31, 2026
10°C or below
$0 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$130 Vol.
3%
12°C
$145 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$48 Vol.
9%
14°C
$0 Vol.
22%
15°C
$0 Vol.
34%
16°C
$0 Vol.
32%
17°C
$0 Vol.
38%
18°C
$0 Vol.
15%
19°C
$0 Vol.
14%
20°C or higher
$155 Vol.
57%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from GFS and ECMWF indicates Warsaw's overnight minimum on August 31 will hinge on cloud cover and scattered thunderstorm activity, which limit radiative cooling and keep lows near 15–17°C rather than allowing clearer skies to push readings lower. Current surface observations show southerly flow with dew points near 14–16°C supporting modest nocturnal drops, while historical August averages for the city hover around 14–15°C. Traders appear to weigh the balance between these conditions and any last-minute forecast shifts ahead of the daily minimum observation window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$478Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from GFS and ECMWF indicates Warsaw's overnight minimum on August 31 will hinge on cloud cover and scattered thunderstorm activity, which limit radiative cooling and keep lows near 15–17°C rather than allowing clearer skies to push readings lower. Current surface observations show southerly flow with dew points near 14–16°C supporting modest nocturnal drops, while historical August averages for the city hover around 14–15°C. Traders appear to weigh the balance between these conditions and any last-minute forecast shifts ahead of the daily minimum observation window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$478Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from GFS and ECMWF indicates Warsaw's overnight minimum on August 31 will hinge on cloud cover and scattered thunderstorm activity, which limit radiative cooling and keep lows near 15–17°C rather than allowing clearer skies to push readings lower. Current surface observations show southerly flow with dew points near 14–16°C supporting modest nocturnal drops, while historical August averages for the city hover around 14–15°C. Traders appear to weigh the balance between these conditions and any last-minute forecast shifts ahead of the daily minimum observation window.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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