Current National Weather Service and AccuWeather forecasts for New York City on August 4 indicate an overnight low of 70–71°F under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light winds, aligning with the market-implied 98.5% consensus on that bin. These projections draw from ensemble model runs showing minimal nocturnal cooling amid typical August humidity and urban heat retention, consistent with historical averages near 68–72°F. Official observations at LaGuardia Airport will determine resolution. Shifts could occur from unforecasted cloud cover increasing radiative cooling or localized wind patterns, though model consensus remains tight with updates expected through the evening.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in NYC on August 4?
Lowest temperature in NYC on August 4?
70-71°F 99%
68-69°F 2%
66-67°F <1%
60-61°F <1%
$13,209 Vol.
$13,209 Vol.
Aug 4, 2026
59°F or below
<1%
60-61°F
1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
1%
68-69°F
2%
70-71°F
99%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78°F or higher
<1%
70-71°F 99%
68-69°F 2%
66-67°F <1%
60-61°F <1%
$13,209 Vol.
$13,209 Vol.
Aug 4, 2026
59°F or below
$469 Vol.
<1%
60-61°F
$281 Vol.
1%
62-63°F
$567 Vol.
<1%
64-65°F
$700 Vol.
<1%
66-67°F
$1,155 Vol.
1%
68-69°F
$2,500 Vol.
2%
70-71°F
$1,335 Vol.
99%
72-73°F
$3,035 Vol.
<1%
74-75°F
$1,965 Vol.
<1%
76-77°F
$778 Vol.
<1%
78°F or higher
$424 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and AccuWeather forecasts for New York City on August 4 indicate an overnight low of 70–71°F under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light winds, aligning with the market-implied 98.5% consensus on that bin. These projections draw from ensemble model runs showing minimal nocturnal cooling amid typical August humidity and urban heat retention, consistent with historical averages near 68–72°F. Official observations at LaGuardia Airport will determine resolution. Shifts could occur from unforecasted cloud cover increasing radiative cooling or localized wind patterns, though model consensus remains tight with updates expected through the evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 2, 2026, 11:30 PM ET
Volume
$13,209Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 4, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 2, 2026, 11:30 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and AccuWeather forecasts for New York City on August 4 indicate an overnight low of 70–71°F under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light winds, aligning with the market-implied 98.5% consensus on that bin. These projections draw from ensemble model runs showing minimal nocturnal cooling amid typical August humidity and urban heat retention, consistent with historical averages near 68–72°F. Official observations at LaGuardia Airport will determine resolution. Shifts could occur from unforecasted cloud cover increasing radiative cooling or localized wind patterns, though model consensus remains tight with updates expected through the evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$13,209Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 4, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 2, 2026, 11:30 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current National Weather Service and AccuWeather forecasts for New York City on August 4 indicate an overnight low of 70–71°F under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light winds, aligning with the market-implied 98.5% consensus on that bin. These projections draw from ensemble model runs showing minimal nocturnal cooling amid typical August humidity and urban heat retention, consistent with historical averages near 68–72°F. Official observations at LaGuardia Airport will determine resolution. Shifts could occur from unforecasted cloud cover increasing radiative cooling or localized wind patterns, though model consensus remains tight with updates expected through the evening.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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