Recent high-pressure systems dominating southern Africa have stabilized conditions over the Western Cape, supporting daytime maxima near the seasonal average of 16–17°C for early August in Cape Town. Model guidance indicates variable high-level cloud and light winds that could limit radiative heating, while the moderating influence of the Benguela Current and Table Mountain's orographic effects further constrain peaks. With leading market outcomes clustered tightly around 15–17°C, traders are pricing in typical winter variability and modest forecast uncertainty from ensemble spread in short-range guidance ahead of the August 6 resolution window.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Cape Town on August 6?
16°C 32%
15°C 27%
17°C 26%
14°C 11%
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
2%
13°C
6%
14°C
11%
15°C
27%
16°C
32%
17°C
26%
18°C
9%
19°C
9%
20°C
9%
21°C or higher
1%
16°C 32%
15°C 27%
17°C 26%
14°C 11%
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
2%
13°C
6%
14°C
11%
15°C
27%
16°C
32%
17°C
26%
18°C
9%
19°C
9%
20°C
9%
21°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 4, 2026, 1:04 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent high-pressure systems dominating southern Africa have stabilized conditions over the Western Cape, supporting daytime maxima near the seasonal average of 16–17°C for early August in Cape Town. Model guidance indicates variable high-level cloud and light winds that could limit radiative heating, while the moderating influence of the Benguela Current and Table Mountain's orographic effects further constrain peaks. With leading market outcomes clustered tightly around 15–17°C, traders are pricing in typical winter variability and modest forecast uncertainty from ensemble spread in short-range guidance ahead of the August 6 resolution window.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui

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