Ongoing heat wave conditions across South Korea, with elevated humidity and limited radiative cooling at night, are driving trader consensus toward overnight lows near 27–29°C at the Incheon International Airport station for August 6. Official short-range guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration indicates mostly clear skies and light winds that could permit modest cooling, yet persistent high pressure and urban heat effects in the Seoul-Incheon area keep minimums above seasonal averages of 23–24°C. Model consensus shows little disagreement on these thresholds, though any increase in cloud cover or onshore flow from the Yellow Sea could shift the low by 1–2°C. The next KMA forecast updates and observational data through August 5 will refine resolution expectations for this temperature bin market.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 6?
28°C 20%
29°C 15%
31°C 14%
27°C 12%
23°C or below
3%
24°C
8%
25°C
6%
26°C
9%
27°C
12%
28°C
20%
29°C
15%
30°C
5%
31°C
14%
32°C
5%
33°C or higher
5%
28°C 20%
29°C 15%
31°C 14%
27°C 12%
23°C or below
3%
24°C
8%
25°C
6%
26°C
9%
27°C
12%
28°C
20%
29°C
15%
30°C
5%
31°C
14%
32°C
5%
33°C or higher
5%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ongoing heat wave conditions across South Korea, with elevated humidity and limited radiative cooling at night, are driving trader consensus toward overnight lows near 27–29°C at the Incheon International Airport station for August 6. Official short-range guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration indicates mostly clear skies and light winds that could permit modest cooling, yet persistent high pressure and urban heat effects in the Seoul-Incheon area keep minimums above seasonal averages of 23–24°C. Model consensus shows little disagreement on these thresholds, though any increase in cloud cover or onshore flow from the Yellow Sea could shift the low by 1–2°C. The next KMA forecast updates and observational data through August 5 will refine resolution expectations for this temperature bin market.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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