Recent forecasts from Météo-France indicate a cooldown over Paris on August 6, with morning lows near 17°C under largely sunny skies and light winds favoring moderate radiational cooling overnight. This setup, following earlier summer warmth, supports the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 15–16°C as the probable minimum, with traders weighing ensemble model spreads on exact boundary-layer mixing and urban heat retention at official stations. Clear conditions and typical August humidity levels limit further drops below 14°C while making 17°C or higher plausible if residual warmth persists, underscoring the sensitivity of overnight minima to small variations in forecast timing and local microclimate.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Paris on August 6?
Lowest temperature in Paris on August 6?
15°C 43%
16°C 25%
14°C 15%
17°C 11%
BARU
BARU
Aug 6, 2026
12°C or below
9%
13°C
10%
14°C
15%
15°C
43%
16°C
25%
17°C
11%
18°C
9%
19°C
1%
20°C
4%
21°C
2%
22°C or higher
2%
15°C 43%
16°C 25%
14°C 15%
17°C 11%
BARU
BARU
Aug 6, 2026
12°C or below
$10 Vol.
9%
13°C
$0 Vol.
10%
14°C
$0 Vol.
15%
15°C
$0 Vol.
43%
16°C
$0 Vol.
25%
17°C
$0 Vol.
11%
18°C
$0 Vol.
9%
19°C
$0 Vol.
1%
20°C
$0 Vol.
4%
21°C
$0 Vol.
2%
22°C or higher
$0 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Météo-France indicate a cooldown over Paris on August 6, with morning lows near 17°C under largely sunny skies and light winds favoring moderate radiational cooling overnight. This setup, following earlier summer warmth, supports the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 15–16°C as the probable minimum, with traders weighing ensemble model spreads on exact boundary-layer mixing and urban heat retention at official stations. Clear conditions and typical August humidity levels limit further drops below 14°C while making 17°C or higher plausible if residual warmth persists, underscoring the sensitivity of overnight minima to small variations in forecast timing and local microclimate.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$10Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 6, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Météo-France indicate a cooldown over Paris on August 6, with morning lows near 17°C under largely sunny skies and light winds favoring moderate radiational cooling overnight. This setup, following earlier summer warmth, supports the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 15–16°C as the probable minimum, with traders weighing ensemble model spreads on exact boundary-layer mixing and urban heat retention at official stations. Clear conditions and typical August humidity levels limit further drops below 14°C while making 17°C or higher plausible if residual warmth persists, underscoring the sensitivity of overnight minima to small variations in forecast timing and local microclimate.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$10Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 6, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from Météo-France indicate a cooldown over Paris on August 6, with morning lows near 17°C under largely sunny skies and light winds favoring moderate radiational cooling overnight. This setup, following earlier summer warmth, supports the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 15–16°C as the probable minimum, with traders weighing ensemble model spreads on exact boundary-layer mixing and urban heat retention at official stations. Clear conditions and typical August humidity levels limit further drops below 14°C while making 17°C or higher plausible if residual warmth persists, underscoring the sensitivity of overnight minima to small variations in forecast timing and local microclimate.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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