Recent Météo-France and ensemble model guidance indicate a moderation in overnight lows for Paris on August 5 following several days of 34–37°C highs, with consensus pointing to a minimum near 15–17°C under largely clear skies and southwesterly flow. This cooling aligns with historical August climatology of 14–18°C lows yet sits below current market-implied odds favoring 19–20°C, suggesting traders are weighting potential model spread, urban heat-island effects at official stations, or slight delays in the frontal passage. Key resolution thresholds hinge on the precise 24-hour minimum recorded at the Paris-Montsouris reference site, with updated runs from ECMWF and GFS due in the next 24–48 hours likely to refine the distribution around these central outcomes.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Paris on August 5?
Lowest temperature in Paris on August 5?
20°C 46%
19°C 29%
18°C 14%
21°C 10%
BARU
BARU
Aug 5, 2026
16°C or below
1%
17°C
6%
18°C
14%
19°C
29%
20°C
46%
21°C
10%
22°C
5%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
<1%
20°C 46%
19°C 29%
18°C 14%
21°C 10%
BARU
BARU
Aug 5, 2026
16°C or below
$187 Vol.
1%
17°C
$55 Vol.
6%
18°C
$99 Vol.
14%
19°C
$44 Vol.
29%
20°C
$554 Vol.
46%
21°C
$75 Vol.
10%
22°C
$44 Vol.
5%
23°C
$213 Vol.
1%
24°C
$132 Vol.
1%
25°C
$66 Vol.
<1%
26°C or higher
$66 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Météo-France and ensemble model guidance indicate a moderation in overnight lows for Paris on August 5 following several days of 34–37°C highs, with consensus pointing to a minimum near 15–17°C under largely clear skies and southwesterly flow. This cooling aligns with historical August climatology of 14–18°C lows yet sits below current market-implied odds favoring 19–20°C, suggesting traders are weighting potential model spread, urban heat-island effects at official stations, or slight delays in the frontal passage. Key resolution thresholds hinge on the precise 24-hour minimum recorded at the Paris-Montsouris reference site, with updated runs from ECMWF and GFS due in the next 24–48 hours likely to refine the distribution around these central outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 3, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$1,535Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 5, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 3, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Météo-France and ensemble model guidance indicate a moderation in overnight lows for Paris on August 5 following several days of 34–37°C highs, with consensus pointing to a minimum near 15–17°C under largely clear skies and southwesterly flow. This cooling aligns with historical August climatology of 14–18°C lows yet sits below current market-implied odds favoring 19–20°C, suggesting traders are weighting potential model spread, urban heat-island effects at official stations, or slight delays in the frontal passage. Key resolution thresholds hinge on the precise 24-hour minimum recorded at the Paris-Montsouris reference site, with updated runs from ECMWF and GFS due in the next 24–48 hours likely to refine the distribution around these central outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,535Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 5, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 3, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Météo-France and ensemble model guidance indicate a moderation in overnight lows for Paris on August 5 following several days of 34–37°C highs, with consensus pointing to a minimum near 15–17°C under largely clear skies and southwesterly flow. This cooling aligns with historical August climatology of 14–18°C lows yet sits below current market-implied odds favoring 19–20°C, suggesting traders are weighting potential model spread, urban heat-island effects at official stations, or slight delays in the frontal passage. Key resolution thresholds hinge on the precise 24-hour minimum recorded at the Paris-Montsouris reference site, with updated runs from ECMWF and GFS due in the next 24–48 hours likely to refine the distribution around these central outcomes.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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