Recent forecasts from European models indicate a moderating air mass over northern France on August 5, with Paris maximum temperatures most likely peaking near 28–29 °C under partly cloudy skies and light westerly flow. This aligns with the market’s strongest implied probabilities on those two outcomes, reflecting consensus guidance that avoids both the extreme heat advection seen during the June–July 2026 heatwaves and cooler maritime intrusions that could cap readings at 27 °C or below. Ensemble spreads remain modest, with limited upside risk to 30 °C or higher unless a stronger ridge builds unexpectedly; Météo-France updates and the next model cycle will further refine these thresholds before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Paris on August 5?
Highest temperature in Paris on August 5?
28°C 46%
29°C 31%
27°C 19%
30°C 6%
BARU
BARU
Aug 5, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
3%
27°C
19%
28°C
46%
29°C
31%
30°C
6%
31°C
3%
32°C
1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
28°C 46%
29°C 31%
27°C 19%
30°C 6%
BARU
BARU
Aug 5, 2026
24°C or below
$350 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$85 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$147 Vol.
3%
27°C
$382 Vol.
19%
28°C
$751 Vol.
46%
29°C
$435 Vol.
31%
30°C
$243 Vol.
6%
31°C
$281 Vol.
3%
32°C
$457 Vol.
1%
33°C
$138 Vol.
<1%
34°C or higher
$259 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from European models indicate a moderating air mass over northern France on August 5, with Paris maximum temperatures most likely peaking near 28–29 °C under partly cloudy skies and light westerly flow. This aligns with the market’s strongest implied probabilities on those two outcomes, reflecting consensus guidance that avoids both the extreme heat advection seen during the June–July 2026 heatwaves and cooler maritime intrusions that could cap readings at 27 °C or below. Ensemble spreads remain modest, with limited upside risk to 30 °C or higher unless a stronger ridge builds unexpectedly; Météo-France updates and the next model cycle will further refine these thresholds before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 3, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$3,529Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 5, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 3, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from European models indicate a moderating air mass over northern France on August 5, with Paris maximum temperatures most likely peaking near 28–29 °C under partly cloudy skies and light westerly flow. This aligns with the market’s strongest implied probabilities on those two outcomes, reflecting consensus guidance that avoids both the extreme heat advection seen during the June–July 2026 heatwaves and cooler maritime intrusions that could cap readings at 27 °C or below. Ensemble spreads remain modest, with limited upside risk to 30 °C or higher unless a stronger ridge builds unexpectedly; Météo-France updates and the next model cycle will further refine these thresholds before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,529Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 5, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 3, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from European models indicate a moderating air mass over northern France on August 5, with Paris maximum temperatures most likely peaking near 28–29 °C under partly cloudy skies and light westerly flow. This aligns with the market’s strongest implied probabilities on those two outcomes, reflecting consensus guidance that avoids both the extreme heat advection seen during the June–July 2026 heatwaves and cooler maritime intrusions that could cap readings at 27 °C or below. Ensemble spreads remain modest, with limited upside risk to 30 °C or higher unless a stronger ridge builds unexpectedly; Météo-France updates and the next model cycle will further refine these thresholds before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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