Recent model consensus from major forecasting centers points to a tight range around 34–35°C as the most probable maximum in Shanghai on August 4, reflecting persistent subtropical high pressure, elevated humidity, and urban heat-island amplification typical of the city's August climatology. Afternoon convection or variable cloud cover could suppress peaks toward 33°C, while clearer conditions and light winds favor the upper end of that interval. Current observations show temperatures already reaching the mid-30s amid ongoing summer warmth, with ensemble spreads highlighting sensitivity to exact timing of any monsoon-related moisture influx. Traders weigh these dynamical uncertainties against historical August maxima near 32–34°C when pricing the narrow 34°C versus 35°C outcomes.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Shanghai on August 4?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on August 4?
34°C 37%
35°C 36%
33°C 16%
36°C 11%
BARU
BARU
Aug 4, 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
2%
32°C
4%
33°C
16%
34°C
37%
35°C
36%
36°C
11%
37°C
2%
38°C
4%
39°C or higher
<1%
34°C 37%
35°C 36%
33°C 16%
36°C 11%
BARU
BARU
Aug 4, 2026
29°C or below
$41 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$104 Vol.
1%
31°C
$69 Vol.
2%
32°C
$203 Vol.
4%
33°C
$647 Vol.
16%
34°C
$228 Vol.
37%
35°C
$772 Vol.
36%
36°C
$117 Vol.
11%
37°C
$58 Vol.
2%
38°C
$125 Vol.
4%
39°C or higher
$81 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from major forecasting centers points to a tight range around 34–35°C as the most probable maximum in Shanghai on August 4, reflecting persistent subtropical high pressure, elevated humidity, and urban heat-island amplification typical of the city's August climatology. Afternoon convection or variable cloud cover could suppress peaks toward 33°C, while clearer conditions and light winds favor the upper end of that interval. Current observations show temperatures already reaching the mid-30s amid ongoing summer warmth, with ensemble spreads highlighting sensitivity to exact timing of any monsoon-related moisture influx. Traders weigh these dynamical uncertainties against historical August maxima near 32–34°C when pricing the narrow 34°C versus 35°C outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 2, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$2,445Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 4, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 2, 2026, 12:03 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from major forecasting centers points to a tight range around 34–35°C as the most probable maximum in Shanghai on August 4, reflecting persistent subtropical high pressure, elevated humidity, and urban heat-island amplification typical of the city's August climatology. Afternoon convection or variable cloud cover could suppress peaks toward 33°C, while clearer conditions and light winds favor the upper end of that interval. Current observations show temperatures already reaching the mid-30s amid ongoing summer warmth, with ensemble spreads highlighting sensitivity to exact timing of any monsoon-related moisture influx. Traders weigh these dynamical uncertainties against historical August maxima near 32–34°C when pricing the narrow 34°C versus 35°C outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,445Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 4, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 2, 2026, 12:03 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from major forecasting centers points to a tight range around 34–35°C as the most probable maximum in Shanghai on August 4, reflecting persistent subtropical high pressure, elevated humidity, and urban heat-island amplification typical of the city's August climatology. Afternoon convection or variable cloud cover could suppress peaks toward 33°C, while clearer conditions and light winds favor the upper end of that interval. Current observations show temperatures already reaching the mid-30s amid ongoing summer warmth, with ensemble spreads highlighting sensitivity to exact timing of any monsoon-related moisture influx. Traders weigh these dynamical uncertainties against historical August maxima near 32–34°C when pricing the narrow 34°C versus 35°C outcomes.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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