Short-term ensemble forecasts from major models including ECMWF and GFS indicate highest temperatures in Milan on August 3 clustering around 34–36°C, reflecting a strong subtropical ridge promoting warm-air advection with limited model spread on peak values. This drives the closely matched market-implied odds, as traders weigh ensemble members showing minor differences in boundary-layer mixing, urban heat-island enhancement, and possible weak frontal passages. Historical August climatology places average highs near 30–32°C, making current guidance modestly above baseline yet within typical variability. Updated model runs and local ARPA Lombardia observations over the next 48 hours will likely refine the exact maximum before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Milan on August 3?
Highest temperature in Milan on August 3?
35°C 34%
34°C 31%
36°C 26%
33°C or below 15%
BARU
BARU
Aug 3, 2026
33°C or below
15%
34°C
31%
35°C
34%
36°C
26%
37°C
4%
38°C
2%
39°C
1%
40°C
4%
41°C
2%
42°C
1%
43°C or higher
1%
35°C 34%
34°C 31%
36°C 26%
33°C or below 15%
BARU
BARU
Aug 3, 2026
33°C or below
$1 Vol.
15%
34°C
$13 Vol.
31%
35°C
$0 Vol.
34%
36°C
$0 Vol.
26%
37°C
$0 Vol.
4%
38°C
$21 Vol.
2%
39°C
$10 Vol.
1%
40°C
$30 Vol.
4%
41°C
$20 Vol.
2%
42°C
$15 Vol.
1%
43°C or higher
$12 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-term ensemble forecasts from major models including ECMWF and GFS indicate highest temperatures in Milan on August 3 clustering around 34–36°C, reflecting a strong subtropical ridge promoting warm-air advection with limited model spread on peak values. This drives the closely matched market-implied odds, as traders weigh ensemble members showing minor differences in boundary-layer mixing, urban heat-island enhancement, and possible weak frontal passages. Historical August climatology places average highs near 30–32°C, making current guidance modestly above baseline yet within typical variability. Updated model runs and local ARPA Lombardia observations over the next 48 hours will likely refine the exact maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 1, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$122Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 1, 2026, 12:03 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-term ensemble forecasts from major models including ECMWF and GFS indicate highest temperatures in Milan on August 3 clustering around 34–36°C, reflecting a strong subtropical ridge promoting warm-air advection with limited model spread on peak values. This drives the closely matched market-implied odds, as traders weigh ensemble members showing minor differences in boundary-layer mixing, urban heat-island enhancement, and possible weak frontal passages. Historical August climatology places average highs near 30–32°C, making current guidance modestly above baseline yet within typical variability. Updated model runs and local ARPA Lombardia observations over the next 48 hours will likely refine the exact maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$122Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 1, 2026, 12:03 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Short-term ensemble forecasts from major models including ECMWF and GFS indicate highest temperatures in Milan on August 3 clustering around 34–36°C, reflecting a strong subtropical ridge promoting warm-air advection with limited model spread on peak values. This drives the closely matched market-implied odds, as traders weigh ensemble members showing minor differences in boundary-layer mixing, urban heat-island enhancement, and possible weak frontal passages. Historical August climatology places average highs near 30–32°C, making current guidance modestly above baseline yet within typical variability. Updated model runs and local ARPA Lombardia observations over the next 48 hours will likely refine the exact maximum before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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