Forecast models from sources like ECMWF and GFS indicate Moscow's August 3 high will likely fall in the 25–27°C range, driven by a stable high-pressure ridge with modest warm-air advection and partly cloudy skies limiting peak insolation. Minor differences in predicted cloud timing or a weak frontal boundary create the tight spread across leading outcomes, as even small shifts in dew points or wind speed can alter maximum readings by 1–2°C. Historical early-August averages near 23°C provide context, while current ensemble guidance shows low risk of extremes, keeping probabilities clustered and responsive to the next model runs.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Moscow on August 3?
Highest temperature in Moscow on August 3?
25°C 24%
26°C 24%
27°C 22%
24°C 18%
BARU
BARU
Aug 3, 2026
21°C or below
5%
22°C
3%
23°C
12%
24°C
18%
25°C
24%
26°C
24%
27°C
22%
28°C
6%
29°C
5%
30°C
7%
31°C or higher
2%
25°C 24%
26°C 24%
27°C 22%
24°C 18%
BARU
BARU
Aug 3, 2026
21°C or below
$10 Vol.
5%
22°C
$16 Vol.
3%
23°C
$0 Vol.
12%
24°C
$0 Vol.
18%
25°C
$5 Vol.
24%
26°C
$0 Vol.
24%
27°C
$0 Vol.
22%
28°C
$0 Vol.
6%
29°C
$31 Vol.
5%
30°C
$20 Vol.
7%
31°C or higher
$10 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources like ECMWF and GFS indicate Moscow's August 3 high will likely fall in the 25–27°C range, driven by a stable high-pressure ridge with modest warm-air advection and partly cloudy skies limiting peak insolation. Minor differences in predicted cloud timing or a weak frontal boundary create the tight spread across leading outcomes, as even small shifts in dew points or wind speed can alter maximum readings by 1–2°C. Historical early-August averages near 23°C provide context, while current ensemble guidance shows low risk of extremes, keeping probabilities clustered and responsive to the next model runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 1, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$92Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 1, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources like ECMWF and GFS indicate Moscow's August 3 high will likely fall in the 25–27°C range, driven by a stable high-pressure ridge with modest warm-air advection and partly cloudy skies limiting peak insolation. Minor differences in predicted cloud timing or a weak frontal boundary create the tight spread across leading outcomes, as even small shifts in dew points or wind speed can alter maximum readings by 1–2°C. Historical early-August averages near 23°C provide context, while current ensemble guidance shows low risk of extremes, keeping probabilities clustered and responsive to the next model runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$92Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 1, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources like ECMWF and GFS indicate Moscow's August 3 high will likely fall in the 25–27°C range, driven by a stable high-pressure ridge with modest warm-air advection and partly cloudy skies limiting peak insolation. Minor differences in predicted cloud timing or a weak frontal boundary create the tight spread across leading outcomes, as even small shifts in dew points or wind speed can alter maximum readings by 1–2°C. Historical early-August averages near 23°C provide context, while current ensemble guidance shows low risk of extremes, keeping probabilities clustered and responsive to the next model runs.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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