Latest meteorological forecasts for Moscow on August 1 converge on a daily high of 26–28°C, underpinning the market's heaviest weighting toward 27°C at 53.5% implied probability. Early-August climatology typically features highs near 22–24°C, but current synoptic patterns, including moderate southerly flow and limited cloud cover, are supporting modestly above-average readings without triggering heatwave conditions. Official guidance from sources such as the Russian Hydrometeorological Center and European models shows tight clustering around these values, with minimal upside risk for 29°C or higher given stable pressure fields and no incoming warm advection. Traders appear to be pricing in the most probable single-degree outcome based on this model agreement and historical variance for the date.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Moscow on August 1?
Highest temperature in Moscow on August 1?
27°C 54%
26°C 17%
28°C 15%
29°C 12%
$24,807 Vol.
$24,807 Vol.
Aug 1, 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
17%
27°C
54%
28°C
15%
29°C
12%
30°C or higher
1%
27°C 54%
26°C 17%
28°C 15%
29°C 12%
$24,807 Vol.
$24,807 Vol.
Aug 1, 2026
20°C or below
$469 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$854 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$383 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$728 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$1,516 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$1,005 Vol.
1%
26°C
$2,748 Vol.
17%
27°C
$3,541 Vol.
54%
28°C
$3,636 Vol.
15%
29°C
$7,419 Vol.
12%
30°C or higher
$2,508 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest meteorological forecasts for Moscow on August 1 converge on a daily high of 26–28°C, underpinning the market's heaviest weighting toward 27°C at 53.5% implied probability. Early-August climatology typically features highs near 22–24°C, but current synoptic patterns, including moderate southerly flow and limited cloud cover, are supporting modestly above-average readings without triggering heatwave conditions. Official guidance from sources such as the Russian Hydrometeorological Center and European models shows tight clustering around these values, with minimal upside risk for 29°C or higher given stable pressure fields and no incoming warm advection. Traders appear to be pricing in the most probable single-degree outcome based on this model agreement and historical variance for the date.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Jul 30, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$24,807Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 1, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 30, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest meteorological forecasts for Moscow on August 1 converge on a daily high of 26–28°C, underpinning the market's heaviest weighting toward 27°C at 53.5% implied probability. Early-August climatology typically features highs near 22–24°C, but current synoptic patterns, including moderate southerly flow and limited cloud cover, are supporting modestly above-average readings without triggering heatwave conditions. Official guidance from sources such as the Russian Hydrometeorological Center and European models shows tight clustering around these values, with minimal upside risk for 29°C or higher given stable pressure fields and no incoming warm advection. Traders appear to be pricing in the most probable single-degree outcome based on this model agreement and historical variance for the date.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$24,807Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 1, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 30, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest meteorological forecasts for Moscow on August 1 converge on a daily high of 26–28°C, underpinning the market's heaviest weighting toward 27°C at 53.5% implied probability. Early-August climatology typically features highs near 22–24°C, but current synoptic patterns, including moderate southerly flow and limited cloud cover, are supporting modestly above-average readings without triggering heatwave conditions. Official guidance from sources such as the Russian Hydrometeorological Center and European models shows tight clustering around these values, with minimal upside risk for 29°C or higher given stable pressure fields and no incoming warm advection. Traders appear to be pricing in the most probable single-degree outcome based on this model agreement and historical variance for the date.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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