Traders have converged on 25°C as the highest temperature recorded in Buenos Aires on July 31 because official meteorological observations from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional confirmed that peak reading at central stations, consistent with a warm winter air mass advected from northern Argentina. July climatology typically features daily maxima near 14–15°C under prevailing westerly flow, yet recent model guidance and surface analyses indicated a transient ridge allowing brief warming to the mid-20s before a frontal passage and associated storms brought cooler, moister conditions. This outcome aligns with verified station data rather than forecasts, leaving negligible room for revision once final quality-controlled values are posted. The only realistic scenarios that could alter the result involve post-processing adjustments for sensor calibration or station siting discrepancies, though such changes rarely exceed 1°C and are unlikely to shift the daily maximum below the resolved threshold.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on July 31?
25°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$80,327 Vol.
$80,327 Vol.
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
100%
26°C or higher
<1%
25°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$80,327 Vol.
$80,327 Vol.
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
100%
26°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Jul 29, 2026, 10:02 PM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders have converged on 25°C as the highest temperature recorded in Buenos Aires on July 31 because official meteorological observations from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional confirmed that peak reading at central stations, consistent with a warm winter air mass advected from northern Argentina. July climatology typically features daily maxima near 14–15°C under prevailing westerly flow, yet recent model guidance and surface analyses indicated a transient ridge allowing brief warming to the mid-20s before a frontal passage and associated storms brought cooler, moister conditions. This outcome aligns with verified station data rather than forecasts, leaving negligible room for revision once final quality-controlled values are posted. The only realistic scenarios that could alter the result involve post-processing adjustments for sensor calibration or station siting discrepancies, though such changes rarely exceed 1°C and are unlikely to shift the daily maximum below the resolved threshold.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui



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