Recent official forecasts from agencies like the UK Met Office and BBC Weather indicate Madrid's maximum temperature on August 2 will likely reach 36–37°C under sunny, high-pressure conditions typical of central Spain's summer anticyclone. Ensemble models show limited spread around these values due to stable subsidence and weak winds, with minimal cloud cover or moisture to moderate daytime heating. Historical August baselines near 32–35°C provide context, but the current setup favors slightly elevated readings without pushing into extreme heat-wave thresholds. Trader consensus reflects this narrow uncertainty band, with resolution hinging on precise 24-hour maximum observations from official stations.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Madrid on August 2?
Highest temperature in Madrid on August 2?
36°C 48%
37°C 44%
38°C 6%
35°C 4%
BARU
BARU
Aug 2, 2026
32°C or below
1%
33°C
1%
34°C
2%
35°C
4%
36°C
48%
37°C
44%
38°C
6%
39°C
1%
40°C
1%
41°C
<1%
42°C or higher
<1%
36°C 48%
37°C 44%
38°C 6%
35°C 4%
BARU
BARU
Aug 2, 2026
32°C or below
$560 Vol.
1%
33°C
$292 Vol.
1%
34°C
$575 Vol.
2%
35°C
$1,054 Vol.
4%
36°C
$2,079 Vol.
48%
37°C
$2,030 Vol.
44%
38°C
$343 Vol.
6%
39°C
$477 Vol.
1%
40°C
$357 Vol.
1%
41°C
$216 Vol.
<1%
42°C or higher
$230 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from agencies like the UK Met Office and BBC Weather indicate Madrid's maximum temperature on August 2 will likely reach 36–37°C under sunny, high-pressure conditions typical of central Spain's summer anticyclone. Ensemble models show limited spread around these values due to stable subsidence and weak winds, with minimal cloud cover or moisture to moderate daytime heating. Historical August baselines near 32–35°C provide context, but the current setup favors slightly elevated readings without pushing into extreme heat-wave thresholds. Trader consensus reflects this narrow uncertainty band, with resolution hinging on precise 24-hour maximum observations from official stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Jul 31, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Volume
$8,215Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 2, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 31, 2026, 1:03 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from agencies like the UK Met Office and BBC Weather indicate Madrid's maximum temperature on August 2 will likely reach 36–37°C under sunny, high-pressure conditions typical of central Spain's summer anticyclone. Ensemble models show limited spread around these values due to stable subsidence and weak winds, with minimal cloud cover or moisture to moderate daytime heating. Historical August baselines near 32–35°C provide context, but the current setup favors slightly elevated readings without pushing into extreme heat-wave thresholds. Trader consensus reflects this narrow uncertainty band, with resolution hinging on precise 24-hour maximum observations from official stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$8,215Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 2, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 31, 2026, 1:03 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from agencies like the UK Met Office and BBC Weather indicate Madrid's maximum temperature on August 2 will likely reach 36–37°C under sunny, high-pressure conditions typical of central Spain's summer anticyclone. Ensemble models show limited spread around these values due to stable subsidence and weak winds, with minimal cloud cover or moisture to moderate daytime heating. Historical August baselines near 32–35°C provide context, but the current setup favors slightly elevated readings without pushing into extreme heat-wave thresholds. Trader consensus reflects this narrow uncertainty band, with resolution hinging on precise 24-hour maximum observations from official stations.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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