Trader sentiment centers on overnight lows in the low-to-mid 70s°F for New York City on August 2, 2026, reflecting model consensus for mild conditions amid a broader warmer-than-average August pattern. Key differentiating factors include nocturnal radiative cooling rates under variable cloud cover—clearer skies promote greater heat loss while increased humidity and dew points limit temperature drops—along with boundary-layer mixing from light winds or urban heat-island effects that retain warmth. Sea-breeze influences and any subtle frontal passages could further modulate the minimum, especially near Central Park’s measurement site. Historical August lows average near 68°F, but current forecasts and ensemble guidance support the clustered probabilities around 72–77°F by emphasizing limited cooling potential over the next 24–48 hours.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in NYC on August 2?
Lowest temperature in NYC on August 2?
74-75°F 37%
76-77°F 23%
70-71°F 14%
68-69°F 14%
BARU
BARU
Aug 2, 2026
63°F or below
1%
64-65°F
1%
66-67°F
1%
68-69°F
14%
70-71°F
14%
72-73°F
37%
74-75°F
47%
76-77°F
23%
78-79°F
14%
80-81°F
1%
82°F or higher
1%
74-75°F 37%
76-77°F 23%
70-71°F 14%
68-69°F 14%
BARU
BARU
Aug 2, 2026
63°F or below
$22 Vol.
1%
64-65°F
$25 Vol.
1%
66-67°F
$37 Vol.
1%
68-69°F
$29 Vol.
14%
70-71°F
$0 Vol.
14%
72-73°F
$0 Vol.
37%
74-75°F
$0 Vol.
47%
76-77°F
$0 Vol.
23%
78-79°F
$0 Vol.
14%
80-81°F
$22 Vol.
1%
82°F or higher
$0 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment centers on overnight lows in the low-to-mid 70s°F for New York City on August 2, 2026, reflecting model consensus for mild conditions amid a broader warmer-than-average August pattern. Key differentiating factors include nocturnal radiative cooling rates under variable cloud cover—clearer skies promote greater heat loss while increased humidity and dew points limit temperature drops—along with boundary-layer mixing from light winds or urban heat-island effects that retain warmth. Sea-breeze influences and any subtle frontal passages could further modulate the minimum, especially near Central Park’s measurement site. Historical August lows average near 68°F, but current forecasts and ensemble guidance support the clustered probabilities around 72–77°F by emphasizing limited cooling potential over the next 24–48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Jul 31, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Volume
$135Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 2, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 31, 2026, 9:30 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment centers on overnight lows in the low-to-mid 70s°F for New York City on August 2, 2026, reflecting model consensus for mild conditions amid a broader warmer-than-average August pattern. Key differentiating factors include nocturnal radiative cooling rates under variable cloud cover—clearer skies promote greater heat loss while increased humidity and dew points limit temperature drops—along with boundary-layer mixing from light winds or urban heat-island effects that retain warmth. Sea-breeze influences and any subtle frontal passages could further modulate the minimum, especially near Central Park’s measurement site. Historical August lows average near 68°F, but current forecasts and ensemble guidance support the clustered probabilities around 72–77°F by emphasizing limited cooling potential over the next 24–48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$135Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 2, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 31, 2026, 9:30 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment centers on overnight lows in the low-to-mid 70s°F for New York City on August 2, 2026, reflecting model consensus for mild conditions amid a broader warmer-than-average August pattern. Key differentiating factors include nocturnal radiative cooling rates under variable cloud cover—clearer skies promote greater heat loss while increased humidity and dew points limit temperature drops—along with boundary-layer mixing from light winds or urban heat-island effects that retain warmth. Sea-breeze influences and any subtle frontal passages could further modulate the minimum, especially near Central Park’s measurement site. Historical August lows average near 68°F, but current forecasts and ensemble guidance support the clustered probabilities around 72–77°F by emphasizing limited cooling potential over the next 24–48 hours.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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