Ongoing heatwave conditions driven by persistent high-pressure systems over the Korean Peninsula are positioning 32°C and 33°C as the leading market-implied outcomes for Seoul/Incheon’s daily maximum on August 1. Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts indicate daytime highs in the 32–37°C range through early August amid elevated humidity and limited cloud cover, aligning with climatological peaks for the period while recent model runs show modest cooling influences from nearby maritime air. Trader consensus reflects these official guidance updates, with minimal probability assigned to extremes above 34°C given stable steering patterns and no imminent frontal passage expected to alter temperatures significantly before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 1?
32°C 51%
33°C 35%
31°C 10%
34°C 5.6%
$70,832 Vol.
$70,832 Vol.
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
10%
32°C
51%
33°C
35%
34°C
6%
35°C or higher
2%
32°C 51%
33°C 35%
31°C 10%
34°C 5.6%
$70,832 Vol.
$70,832 Vol.
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
10%
32°C
51%
33°C
35%
34°C
6%
35°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Jul 30, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ongoing heatwave conditions driven by persistent high-pressure systems over the Korean Peninsula are positioning 32°C and 33°C as the leading market-implied outcomes for Seoul/Incheon’s daily maximum on August 1. Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts indicate daytime highs in the 32–37°C range through early August amid elevated humidity and limited cloud cover, aligning with climatological peaks for the period while recent model runs show modest cooling influences from nearby maritime air. Trader consensus reflects these official guidance updates, with minimal probability assigned to extremes above 34°C given stable steering patterns and no imminent frontal passage expected to alter temperatures significantly before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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