Recent numerical weather prediction model runs show Warsaw's August 2 maximum temperature likely peaking near 25–26°C, with limited spread among ensemble members supporting the near-tie in market odds between these two outcomes. Key differentiating factors include the timing and coverage of scattered showers or increased cloud cover, which can suppress peak solar heating by 1–2°C, alongside subtle variations in boundary-layer moisture and low-level wind speeds that influence the diurnal temperature curve. Official guidance from European meteorological agencies highlights modest uncertainty tied to evolving high-pressure patterns and Atlantic moisture advection over the next 48 hours, typical for late-summer conditions where small forecast adjustments frequently shift daily highs by a degree or two.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Warsaw on August 2?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on August 2?
25°C 31%
26°C 31%
24°C 20%
27°C 11%
BARU
BARU
Aug 2, 2026
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
2%
23°C
5%
24°C
20%
25°C
31%
26°C
31%
27°C
11%
28°C or higher
4%
25°C 31%
26°C 31%
24°C 20%
27°C 11%
BARU
BARU
Aug 2, 2026
18°C or below
$133 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$213 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$254 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$110 Vol.
1%
22°C
$10 Vol.
2%
23°C
$206 Vol.
5%
24°C
$296 Vol.
20%
25°C
$139 Vol.
31%
26°C
$227 Vol.
31%
27°C
$86 Vol.
11%
28°C or higher
$794 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction model runs show Warsaw's August 2 maximum temperature likely peaking near 25–26°C, with limited spread among ensemble members supporting the near-tie in market odds between these two outcomes. Key differentiating factors include the timing and coverage of scattered showers or increased cloud cover, which can suppress peak solar heating by 1–2°C, alongside subtle variations in boundary-layer moisture and low-level wind speeds that influence the diurnal temperature curve. Official guidance from European meteorological agencies highlights modest uncertainty tied to evolving high-pressure patterns and Atlantic moisture advection over the next 48 hours, typical for late-summer conditions where small forecast adjustments frequently shift daily highs by a degree or two.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Jul 31, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Volume
$2,466Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 2, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 31, 2026, 1:03 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction model runs show Warsaw's August 2 maximum temperature likely peaking near 25–26°C, with limited spread among ensemble members supporting the near-tie in market odds between these two outcomes. Key differentiating factors include the timing and coverage of scattered showers or increased cloud cover, which can suppress peak solar heating by 1–2°C, alongside subtle variations in boundary-layer moisture and low-level wind speeds that influence the diurnal temperature curve. Official guidance from European meteorological agencies highlights modest uncertainty tied to evolving high-pressure patterns and Atlantic moisture advection over the next 48 hours, typical for late-summer conditions where small forecast adjustments frequently shift daily highs by a degree or two.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,466Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 2, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 31, 2026, 1:03 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather prediction model runs show Warsaw's August 2 maximum temperature likely peaking near 25–26°C, with limited spread among ensemble members supporting the near-tie in market odds between these two outcomes. Key differentiating factors include the timing and coverage of scattered showers or increased cloud cover, which can suppress peak solar heating by 1–2°C, alongside subtle variations in boundary-layer moisture and low-level wind speeds that influence the diurnal temperature curve. Official guidance from European meteorological agencies highlights modest uncertainty tied to evolving high-pressure patterns and Atlantic moisture advection over the next 48 hours, typical for late-summer conditions where small forecast adjustments frequently shift daily highs by a degree or two.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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