Official forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service project a daytime high of 33°C for coastal Tel Aviv on August 2, aligning with typical August Mediterranean conditions moderated by sea breezes and an average high near 32°C. This underpins trader consensus favoring 35°C at 59.5% implied probability, as models often show small upward variability in peak readings amid stable summer patterns. Recent seasonal observations indicate occasional exceedances to 34°C without major heatwave signals, while lower outcomes like 34°C hold 19.5% odds reflecting baseline climatology. Updated IMS guidance and regional ensemble runs in the coming hours could shift these probabilities based on any late adjustments in steering flows or insolation.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 2?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 2?
35°C 59%
34°C 19%
36°C 18%
37°C 4%
BARU
$10,271 Vol.
BARU
$10,271 Vol.
Aug 2, 2026
31°C or below
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
3%
34°C
19%
35°C
59%
36°C
18%
37°C
4%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C or higher
<1%
35°C 59%
34°C 19%
36°C 18%
37°C 4%
BARU
$10,271 Vol.
BARU
$10,271 Vol.
Aug 2, 2026
31°C or below
$320 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$386 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$715 Vol.
3%
34°C
$3,646 Vol.
19%
35°C
$2,040 Vol.
59%
36°C
$1,011 Vol.
18%
37°C
$459 Vol.
4%
38°C
$58 Vol.
<1%
39°C
$162 Vol.
<1%
40°C
$272 Vol.
<1%
41°C or higher
$1,201 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service project a daytime high of 33°C for coastal Tel Aviv on August 2, aligning with typical August Mediterranean conditions moderated by sea breezes and an average high near 32°C. This underpins trader consensus favoring 35°C at 59.5% implied probability, as models often show small upward variability in peak readings amid stable summer patterns. Recent seasonal observations indicate occasional exceedances to 34°C without major heatwave signals, while lower outcomes like 34°C hold 19.5% odds reflecting baseline climatology. Updated IMS guidance and regional ensemble runs in the coming hours could shift these probabilities based on any late adjustments in steering flows or insolation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Jul 31, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Volume
$10,271Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 2, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 31, 2026, 1:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service project a daytime high of 33°C for coastal Tel Aviv on August 2, aligning with typical August Mediterranean conditions moderated by sea breezes and an average high near 32°C. This underpins trader consensus favoring 35°C at 59.5% implied probability, as models often show small upward variability in peak readings amid stable summer patterns. Recent seasonal observations indicate occasional exceedances to 34°C without major heatwave signals, while lower outcomes like 34°C hold 19.5% odds reflecting baseline climatology. Updated IMS guidance and regional ensemble runs in the coming hours could shift these probabilities based on any late adjustments in steering flows or insolation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$10,271Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 2, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 31, 2026, 1:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service project a daytime high of 33°C for coastal Tel Aviv on August 2, aligning with typical August Mediterranean conditions moderated by sea breezes and an average high near 32°C. This underpins trader consensus favoring 35°C at 59.5% implied probability, as models often show small upward variability in peak readings amid stable summer patterns. Recent seasonal observations indicate occasional exceedances to 34°C without major heatwave signals, while lower outcomes like 34°C hold 19.5% odds reflecting baseline climatology. Updated IMS guidance and regional ensemble runs in the coming hours could shift these probabilities based on any late adjustments in steering flows or insolation.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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