Recent meteorological observations and forecast models from agencies like IMGW and ECMWF indicate that a passing frontal system with thundershowers is capping peak temperatures in Warsaw on August 1 near 31–33 °C. Surface pressure gradients and increased cloud cover are limiting daytime solar heating, while modest southeasterly flow brings slightly warmer air from the continent, keeping the daily maximum from exceeding the mid-30s. Ensemble guidance shows small spreads driven by uncertainty in shower timing and local urban heat-island effects, which explains why trader probabilities cluster tightly around 31 °C (24.5 %), 32 °C (24.0 %), and 33 °C (20.5 %). This distribution aligns with the post-June heatwave cooling trend and typical early-August climatology for the region.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Warsaw on August 1?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on August 1?
31°C 25%
32°C 24%
33°C 21%
30°C 18%
$23,955 Vol.
$23,955 Vol.
Aug 1, 2026
28°C or below
2%
29°C
9%
30°C
18%
31°C
25%
32°C
24%
33°C
21%
34°C
7%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
31°C 25%
32°C 24%
33°C 21%
30°C 18%
$23,955 Vol.
$23,955 Vol.
Aug 1, 2026
28°C or below
$3,199 Vol.
2%
29°C
$3,880 Vol.
9%
30°C
$2,936 Vol.
18%
31°C
$2,992 Vol.
25%
32°C
$4,266 Vol.
24%
33°C
$2,556 Vol.
21%
34°C
$1,392 Vol.
7%
35°C
$669 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$1,026 Vol.
<1%
37°C
$491 Vol.
<1%
38°C or higher
$547 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological observations and forecast models from agencies like IMGW and ECMWF indicate that a passing frontal system with thundershowers is capping peak temperatures in Warsaw on August 1 near 31–33 °C. Surface pressure gradients and increased cloud cover are limiting daytime solar heating, while modest southeasterly flow brings slightly warmer air from the continent, keeping the daily maximum from exceeding the mid-30s. Ensemble guidance shows small spreads driven by uncertainty in shower timing and local urban heat-island effects, which explains why trader probabilities cluster tightly around 31 °C (24.5 %), 32 °C (24.0 %), and 33 °C (20.5 %). This distribution aligns with the post-June heatwave cooling trend and typical early-August climatology for the region.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Jul 30, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$23,955Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 1, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 30, 2026, 12:03 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological observations and forecast models from agencies like IMGW and ECMWF indicate that a passing frontal system with thundershowers is capping peak temperatures in Warsaw on August 1 near 31–33 °C. Surface pressure gradients and increased cloud cover are limiting daytime solar heating, while modest southeasterly flow brings slightly warmer air from the continent, keeping the daily maximum from exceeding the mid-30s. Ensemble guidance shows small spreads driven by uncertainty in shower timing and local urban heat-island effects, which explains why trader probabilities cluster tightly around 31 °C (24.5 %), 32 °C (24.0 %), and 33 °C (20.5 %). This distribution aligns with the post-June heatwave cooling trend and typical early-August climatology for the region.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$23,955Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 1, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 30, 2026, 12:03 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent meteorological observations and forecast models from agencies like IMGW and ECMWF indicate that a passing frontal system with thundershowers is capping peak temperatures in Warsaw on August 1 near 31–33 °C. Surface pressure gradients and increased cloud cover are limiting daytime solar heating, while modest southeasterly flow brings slightly warmer air from the continent, keeping the daily maximum from exceeding the mid-30s. Ensemble guidance shows small spreads driven by uncertainty in shower timing and local urban heat-island effects, which explains why trader probabilities cluster tightly around 31 °C (24.5 %), 32 °C (24.0 %), and 33 °C (20.5 %). This distribution aligns with the post-June heatwave cooling trend and typical early-August climatology for the region.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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