Ongoing heatwave conditions over South Korea, sustained by a strong North Pacific subtropical high advecting warm, moist southerly flow, form the main driver behind trader consensus clustering on 35–37°C for Busan’s August 3 maximum. Coastal proximity to the East Sea introduces marine moderation via potential afternoon sea breezes and boundary-layer mixing, which can cap peaks below inland values, while variable cloud cover or scattered showers tied to residual monsoon moisture adds forecast uncertainty. Ensemble model spreads in subsidence strength and exact timing of any breeze differentiate the closely matched leading outcomes, with historical August baselines around 30–32°C underscoring the anomalous warmth. Updated KMA guidance and diurnal temperature trends through the weekend will refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Busan on August 3?
Highest temperature in Busan on August 3?
36°C 31%
37°C 31%
35°C 27%
34°C 13%
BARU
BARU
Aug 3, 2026
32°C or below
5%
33°C
10%
34°C
13%
35°C
27%
36°C
31%
37°C
26%
38°C
10%
39°C
3%
40°C
4%
41°C
3%
42°C or higher
2%
36°C 31%
37°C 31%
35°C 27%
34°C 13%
BARU
BARU
Aug 3, 2026
32°C or below
$31 Vol.
5%
33°C
$9 Vol.
10%
34°C
$3 Vol.
13%
35°C
$25 Vol.
27%
36°C
$26 Vol.
31%
37°C
$82 Vol.
26%
38°C
$83 Vol.
10%
39°C
$21 Vol.
3%
40°C
$10 Vol.
4%
41°C
$10 Vol.
3%
42°C or higher
$10 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ongoing heatwave conditions over South Korea, sustained by a strong North Pacific subtropical high advecting warm, moist southerly flow, form the main driver behind trader consensus clustering on 35–37°C for Busan’s August 3 maximum. Coastal proximity to the East Sea introduces marine moderation via potential afternoon sea breezes and boundary-layer mixing, which can cap peaks below inland values, while variable cloud cover or scattered showers tied to residual monsoon moisture adds forecast uncertainty. Ensemble model spreads in subsidence strength and exact timing of any breeze differentiate the closely matched leading outcomes, with historical August baselines around 30–32°C underscoring the anomalous warmth. Updated KMA guidance and diurnal temperature trends through the weekend will refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 1, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$310Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 1, 2026, 12:04 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ongoing heatwave conditions over South Korea, sustained by a strong North Pacific subtropical high advecting warm, moist southerly flow, form the main driver behind trader consensus clustering on 35–37°C for Busan’s August 3 maximum. Coastal proximity to the East Sea introduces marine moderation via potential afternoon sea breezes and boundary-layer mixing, which can cap peaks below inland values, while variable cloud cover or scattered showers tied to residual monsoon moisture adds forecast uncertainty. Ensemble model spreads in subsidence strength and exact timing of any breeze differentiate the closely matched leading outcomes, with historical August baselines around 30–32°C underscoring the anomalous warmth. Updated KMA guidance and diurnal temperature trends through the weekend will refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$310Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 1, 2026, 12:04 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ongoing heatwave conditions over South Korea, sustained by a strong North Pacific subtropical high advecting warm, moist southerly flow, form the main driver behind trader consensus clustering on 35–37°C for Busan’s August 3 maximum. Coastal proximity to the East Sea introduces marine moderation via potential afternoon sea breezes and boundary-layer mixing, which can cap peaks below inland values, while variable cloud cover or scattered showers tied to residual monsoon moisture adds forecast uncertainty. Ensemble model spreads in subsidence strength and exact timing of any breeze differentiate the closely matched leading outcomes, with historical August baselines around 30–32°C underscoring the anomalous warmth. Updated KMA guidance and diurnal temperature trends through the weekend will refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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