Recent short-range forecasts from the Met Office and BBC indicate a minimum of 13–14°C for London on August 5 under a westerly flow with moderating temperatures after early-month warmth, yet trader consensus heavily favors 18–19°C outcomes. This positioning reflects model ensemble spread, potential for slower cooling under residual high pressure, and historical August nocturnal minima often 3–5°C above long-term averages during warm summers like 2026. Key resolution hinges on official observations at representative stations, with upcoming model runs and overnight trends likely to refine probabilities as the date approaches.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in London on August 5?
Lowest temperature in London on August 5?
18°C 49%
19°C 33%
17°C 15%
20°C 7%
BARU
BARU
Aug 5, 2026
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
2%
16°C
4%
17°C
15%
18°C
49%
19°C
33%
20°C
7%
21°C
1%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
18°C 49%
19°C 33%
17°C 15%
20°C 7%
BARU
BARU
Aug 5, 2026
13°C or below
$365 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$528 Vol.
1%
15°C
$421 Vol.
2%
16°C
$239 Vol.
4%
17°C
$490 Vol.
15%
18°C
$1,671 Vol.
49%
19°C
$1,499 Vol.
33%
20°C
$164 Vol.
7%
21°C
$226 Vol.
1%
22°C
$176 Vol.
<1%
23°C or higher
$195 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from the Met Office and BBC indicate a minimum of 13–14°C for London on August 5 under a westerly flow with moderating temperatures after early-month warmth, yet trader consensus heavily favors 18–19°C outcomes. This positioning reflects model ensemble spread, potential for slower cooling under residual high pressure, and historical August nocturnal minima often 3–5°C above long-term averages during warm summers like 2026. Key resolution hinges on official observations at representative stations, with upcoming model runs and overnight trends likely to refine probabilities as the date approaches.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 3, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$5,974Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 5, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 3, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from the Met Office and BBC indicate a minimum of 13–14°C for London on August 5 under a westerly flow with moderating temperatures after early-month warmth, yet trader consensus heavily favors 18–19°C outcomes. This positioning reflects model ensemble spread, potential for slower cooling under residual high pressure, and historical August nocturnal minima often 3–5°C above long-term averages during warm summers like 2026. Key resolution hinges on official observations at representative stations, with upcoming model runs and overnight trends likely to refine probabilities as the date approaches.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$5,974Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 5, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 3, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range forecasts from the Met Office and BBC indicate a minimum of 13–14°C for London on August 5 under a westerly flow with moderating temperatures after early-month warmth, yet trader consensus heavily favors 18–19°C outcomes. This positioning reflects model ensemble spread, potential for slower cooling under residual high pressure, and historical August nocturnal minima often 3–5°C above long-term averages during warm summers like 2026. Key resolution hinges on official observations at representative stations, with upcoming model runs and overnight trends likely to refine probabilities as the date approaches.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan