Recent model consensus from sources such as the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and GFS points to a peak temperature in Warsaw of 31–34 °C on August 6, driven by southerly warm-air advection under partly cloudy skies with isolated late-day thunderstorms. These conditions support the market’s tight clustering around 32–33 °C, as modest variations in cloud timing or convective initiation can shift the daily maximum by 1–2 °C. With the event only two days away, updated runs and observational data from Polish meteorological stations will refine steering patterns and boundary-layer mixing, tightening probabilities among the leading outcomes.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Warsaw on August 6?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on August 6?
33°C 32%
32°C 26%
34°C 17%
31°C 14%
BARU
BARU
Aug 6, 2026
29°C or below
2%
30°C
3%
31°C
14%
32°C
26%
33°C
32%
34°C
17%
35°C
7%
36°C
1%
37°C
1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
33°C 32%
32°C 26%
34°C 17%
31°C 14%
BARU
BARU
Aug 6, 2026
29°C or below
$289 Vol.
2%
30°C
$253 Vol.
3%
31°C
$236 Vol.
14%
32°C
$320 Vol.
26%
33°C
$2,458 Vol.
32%
34°C
$434 Vol.
17%
35°C
$420 Vol.
7%
36°C
$26 Vol.
1%
37°C
$31 Vol.
1%
38°C
$179 Vol.
<1%
39°C or higher
$300 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources such as the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and GFS points to a peak temperature in Warsaw of 31–34 °C on August 6, driven by southerly warm-air advection under partly cloudy skies with isolated late-day thunderstorms. These conditions support the market’s tight clustering around 32–33 °C, as modest variations in cloud timing or convective initiation can shift the daily maximum by 1–2 °C. With the event only two days away, updated runs and observational data from Polish meteorological stations will refine steering patterns and boundary-layer mixing, tightening probabilities among the leading outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 4, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Volume
$4,945Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 6, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 4, 2026, 1:03 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources such as the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and GFS points to a peak temperature in Warsaw of 31–34 °C on August 6, driven by southerly warm-air advection under partly cloudy skies with isolated late-day thunderstorms. These conditions support the market’s tight clustering around 32–33 °C, as modest variations in cloud timing or convective initiation can shift the daily maximum by 1–2 °C. With the event only two days away, updated runs and observational data from Polish meteorological stations will refine steering patterns and boundary-layer mixing, tightening probabilities among the leading outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,945Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 6, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 4, 2026, 1:03 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from sources such as the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and GFS points to a peak temperature in Warsaw of 31–34 °C on August 6, driven by southerly warm-air advection under partly cloudy skies with isolated late-day thunderstorms. These conditions support the market’s tight clustering around 32–33 °C, as modest variations in cloud timing or convective initiation can shift the daily maximum by 1–2 °C. With the event only two days away, updated runs and observational data from Polish meteorological stations will refine steering patterns and boundary-layer mixing, tightening probabilities among the leading outcomes.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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