Current forecast models for Tel Aviv project daily highs near 30–32°C on August 6, aligning closely with long-term August climatology of roughly 30–32°C under typical Mediterranean high-pressure patterns with clear skies and low precipitation. This positions 32°C and 33°C as the market leaders, reflecting trader assessment of stable seasonal conditions without strong signals for anomalous heat or cooling. Short-range model runs show limited variability around these values, with minimal risk of extremes above 34°C given current steering patterns and humidity levels around 60–70%. Updated numerical guidance and any late adjustments to local sea breezes remain key variables that could shift probabilities before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 6?
32°C 50%
33°C 30%
34°C 7%
31°C 7%
29°C or below
2%
30°C
2%
31°C
7%
32°C
50%
33°C
30%
34°C
7%
35°C
2%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
32°C 50%
33°C 30%
34°C 7%
31°C 7%
29°C or below
2%
30°C
2%
31°C
7%
32°C
50%
33°C
30%
34°C
7%
35°C
2%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 4, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models for Tel Aviv project daily highs near 30–32°C on August 6, aligning closely with long-term August climatology of roughly 30–32°C under typical Mediterranean high-pressure patterns with clear skies and low precipitation. This positions 32°C and 33°C as the market leaders, reflecting trader assessment of stable seasonal conditions without strong signals for anomalous heat or cooling. Short-range model runs show limited variability around these values, with minimal risk of extremes above 34°C given current steering patterns and humidity levels around 60–70%. Updated numerical guidance and any late adjustments to local sea breezes remain key variables that could shift probabilities before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui



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