Recent forecast models from meteorological agencies indicate peak temperatures in Tel Aviv on August 5 likely reaching 32–33°C under typical Mediterranean summer high-pressure conditions and moderate northerly winds, aligning with market-implied odds favoring these outcomes. Climatological data show August daytime highs averaging near 31°C with low precipitation risk, and current short-range guidance shows no significant heatwave or cooling shift as of August 4. Traders appear to weigh the narrow spread between 32°C and 33°C against minor model variability in maximum readings, with resolution hinging on official local station measurements tomorrow.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 5?
33°C 60%
32°C 36%
34°C 7%
31°C <1%
$18,455 Vol.
$18,455 Vol.
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
36%
33°C
60%
34°C
7%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
33°C 60%
32°C 36%
34°C 7%
31°C <1%
$18,455 Vol.
$18,455 Vol.
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
36%
33°C
60%
34°C
7%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 3, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from meteorological agencies indicate peak temperatures in Tel Aviv on August 5 likely reaching 32–33°C under typical Mediterranean summer high-pressure conditions and moderate northerly winds, aligning with market-implied odds favoring these outcomes. Climatological data show August daytime highs averaging near 31°C with low precipitation risk, and current short-range guidance shows no significant heatwave or cooling shift as of August 4. Traders appear to weigh the narrow spread between 32°C and 33°C against minor model variability in maximum readings, with resolution hinging on official local station measurements tomorrow.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui

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