Recent Met Office and BBC forecasts project an overnight minimum near 16–18°C for London on August 18 under light cloud, gentle westerly winds, and limited radiative cooling, yet trader consensus favors 18–19°C as the most probable minimum. Ensemble models show modest spread due to variable cloud cover influencing nocturnal heat retention, while historical August baselines place typical lows around 13–15°C. Current observations hovering near 19–21°C overnight reinforce the market's tilt toward the upper end of guidance, with resolution hinging on official station readings by dawn.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in London on August 18?
18°C 91%
17°C 9%
16°C <1%
14°C or below <1%
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
9%
18°C
91%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C or higher
<1%
18°C 91%
17°C 9%
16°C <1%
14°C or below <1%
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
9%
18°C
91%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 16, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office and BBC forecasts project an overnight minimum near 16–18°C for London on August 18 under light cloud, gentle westerly winds, and limited radiative cooling, yet trader consensus favors 18–19°C as the most probable minimum. Ensemble models show modest spread due to variable cloud cover influencing nocturnal heat retention, while historical August baselines place typical lows around 13–15°C. Current observations hovering near 19–21°C overnight reinforce the market's tilt toward the upper end of guidance, with resolution hinging on official station readings by dawn.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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