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icon for Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 18?

Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 18?

icon for Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 18?

Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 18?

Aug 17

Aug 18

Aug 19

Aug 17

Aug 18

Aug 19

27°C 19%

26°C 9%

25°C 6.0%

24°C 1.0%

Polymarket
BARU

$28,198 Vol.

27°C 19%

26°C 9%

25°C 6.0%

24°C 1.0%

Polymarket
BARU

$28,198 Vol.

23°C or below

$1,049 Vol.

<1%

24°C

$1,990 Vol.

1%

25°C

$3,658 Vol.

7%

26°C

$3,329 Vol.

9%

27°C

$5,340 Vol.

32%

28°C

$4,633 Vol.

54%

29°C

$5,370 Vol.

<1%

30°C

$715 Vol.

<1%

31°C

$506 Vol.

<1%

32°C

$545 Vol.

<1%

33°C or higher

$1,063 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts for Hong Kong on August 18 point to a minimum temperature of 27–28 °C, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure, high humidity, and urban heat retention that limit overnight cooling. Official outlooks from monitoring agencies indicate typical August nighttime lows near 27 °C under partly cloudy to showery conditions, with model consensus favoring no significant drop below this range absent a strong frontal passage or typhoon influence. These factors underpin the market’s heavy weighting toward 28 °C (56 %) and 27 °C (31.5 %), while lower outcomes remain improbable given climatological baselines and current atmospheric stability. Updated local observations and any revised model runs tonight will be the next key inputs for traders.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$28,198
Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 18, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Aug 16, 2026, 12:28 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts for Hong Kong on August 18 point to a minimum temperature of 27–28 °C, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure, high humidity, and urban heat retention that limit overnight cooling. Official outlooks from monitoring agencies indicate typical August nighttime lows near 27 °C under partly cloudy to showery conditions, with model consensus favoring no significant drop below this range absent a strong frontal passage or typhoon influence. These factors underpin the market’s heavy weighting toward 28 °C (56 %) and 27 °C (31.5 %), while lower outcomes remain improbable given climatological baselines and current atmospheric stability. Updated local observations and any revised model runs tonight will be the next key inputs for traders.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$28,198
Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 18, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Aug 16, 2026, 12:28 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 18?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 11 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "28°C" di 54%, diikuti oleh "27°C" di 32%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 54¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 54% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 18?" telah menghasilkan $28.2K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Aug 16, 2026. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 18?," jelajahi 11 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 18?" adalah "28°C" di 54%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 54% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "27°C" di 32%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 18?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.