**Forecast models and official guidance from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration (CWA) point to a high of 31–32°C in Taipei on September 7, 2026, as the most probable outcome, consistent with the market's heaviest weighting on those levels.** Persistent heavy rain and thunderstorms on September 6 kept daytime highs suppressed near 26–28°C under thick cloud cover and high humidity. As the frontal system weakens, conditions on the 7th are expected to trend toward partly cloudy skies with reduced precipitation chances (20–30% in many models), allowing greater solar heating. Northeast winds will provide some moderation while the broader pattern shifts away from the earlier wet regime. This setup aligns with early-September climatology for Taipei, where highs typically reach 30–32°C absent strong tropical systems or persistent monsoon flow. Minor model spread arises mainly from variable cloud timing and any lingering showers, which could cap the peak a degree lower or permit brief clearing that pushes it to 33°C. No major typhoon or extreme heat signals are present in current guidance, keeping probabilities tightly clustered around the 31–32°C range with lower odds for outliers. Updated CWA briefings and afternoon model runs will provide the next key data points before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Taipei on September 7?
32°C 45%
31°C 28%
33°C 18%
30°C 7%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
2%
29°C
4%
30°C
7%
31°C
28%
32°C
45%
33°C
18%
34°C
4%
35°C or higher
1%
32°C 45%
31°C 28%
33°C 18%
30°C 7%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
2%
29°C
4%
30°C
7%
31°C
28%
32°C
45%
33°C
18%
34°C
4%
35°C or higher
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 5, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models and official guidance from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration (CWA) point to a high of 31–32°C in Taipei on September 7, 2026, as the most probable outcome, consistent with the market's heaviest weighting on those levels.** Persistent heavy rain and thunderstorms on September 6 kept daytime highs suppressed near 26–28°C under thick cloud cover and high humidity. As the frontal system weakens, conditions on the 7th are expected to trend toward partly cloudy skies with reduced precipitation chances (20–30% in many models), allowing greater solar heating. Northeast winds will provide some moderation while the broader pattern shifts away from the earlier wet regime. This setup aligns with early-September climatology for Taipei, where highs typically reach 30–32°C absent strong tropical systems or persistent monsoon flow. Minor model spread arises mainly from variable cloud timing and any lingering showers, which could cap the peak a degree lower or permit brief clearing that pushes it to 33°C. No major typhoon or extreme heat signals are present in current guidance, keeping probabilities tightly clustered around the 31–32°C range with lower odds for outliers. Updated CWA briefings and afternoon model runs will provide the next key data points before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan